US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

IBM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $251.01 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.1, MACD -3.579

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $32.49 (14.43%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$239.46Bearish
EMA 21$251.01Bearish
EMA 50$257.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.1 · MACD -3.579

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $32.49 · BB 42.54%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.8 · OBV -30.66%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$199.19 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+62.07% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$364.95
Nearest resistance

+47.64% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$225.19
Nearest support

-11.54% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.19
Deeper support zone

-25.97% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$166.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$192.69 - $257.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199.19, invalidation $311.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 34.2 / 29.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$130.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.66 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.49 (14.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.54%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$315.27 / $185.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.69 / $257.68Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.579Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 16.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199.19, invalidation $311.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.4 / 34.2 / 29.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$130.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.66 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.579Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 16.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.49 (14.43%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.54%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$315.27 / $185.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.69 / $257.68Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-30.66%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.10xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

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