US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish76%
Weekly Downside probability 76%Bearish

IBM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $246.42 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.2, MACD -0.401

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.96 (9.85%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$238.95Bullish
EMA 21$246.42Bearish
EMA 50$254.26Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.2 · MACD -0.401

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $23.96 · BB 41.91%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.7 · OBV -27.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$199.19 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.5% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$356.42
Nearest resistance

+36.65% · 3.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.29
Nearest support

-18.13% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.19
Deeper support zone

-27.97% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$175.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$219.33 - $267.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $241.8, invalidation $228.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.3 / 21.5 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$169.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$257.09 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.96 (9.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.91%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$290.64 / $201.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$219.33 / $267.25Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.401Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 31.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $241.8, invalidation $228.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.3 / 21.5 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$169.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$257.09 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.401Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 31.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-27.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.96 (9.85%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.91%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$290.64 / $201.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$219.33 / $267.25Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-27.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.48xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

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