US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 weekRange52%
Weekly Range probability 96%Range

IBM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $212.34 - $332.46 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.0, MACD 1.165

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.16 (15.63%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$260.54Bearish
EMA 21$261.37Bearish
EMA 50$262.52Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.0 · MACD 1.165

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $34.16 · BB 37.15%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 60.5 · OBV -47.09%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$212.34 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+67.72% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$366.62
Nearest resistance

+52.09% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.59
Nearest support

-2.86% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$212.34
Deeper support zone

-18.48% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$178.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.43 - $252.75

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $243.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.7 / 30.6 / 27.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.62 / $272.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.16 (15.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.15%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$340.34 / $182.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.43 / $252.75Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.34Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.165Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 44.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $243.68

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.7 / 30.6 / 27.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$272.62 / $272.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.165Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 44.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-40.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.16 (15.63%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 37.15%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$340.34 / $182.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.43 / $252.75Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

60.5Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-47.09%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.05xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$212.34Range

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