US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish54%
Weekly Upside probability 54%Bullish

IBM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $199.19 and reclaim $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $199.19 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.3, MACD 1.478

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.49 (5.73%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$235.88Bullish
EMA 21$240.5Bullish
EMA 50$249.54Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.3 · MACD 1.478

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $14.49 · BB 36.27%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.9 · OBV -10.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$199.19 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+37.22% · 6.5 ATR above latest close

$346.95
Nearest resistance

+31.49% · 5.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$252.85
Nearest support

-21.22% · 3.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.19
Deeper support zone

-26.95% · 4.7 ATR below latest close

$184.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$238.36 - $267.33

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $251.82, invalidation $217.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.7 / 34.0 / 9.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$199.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.44 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.49 (5.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.27%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$268.69 / $211.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.36 / $267.33Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.478Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.0 / 50.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $251.82, invalidation $217.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

16.7 / 34.0 / 9.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$199.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$251.44 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

48%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.478Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

94.0 / 50.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-6.0Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

14.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.49 (5.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.27%

63%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$268.69 / $211.36Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$238.36 / $267.33Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.85%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

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