US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish87%
Weekly Downside probability 87%Bearish

IBM 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.15 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.8, MACD -2.117

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $32.53 (13.8%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$239.36Bearish
EMA 21$249.15Bearish
EMA 50$256.33Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.8 · MACD -2.117

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $32.53 · BB 42.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 61.8 · OBV -22.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$199.19 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+54.87% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$364.99
Nearest resistance

+41.06% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$235.68
Nearest support

-15.48% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$199.19
Deeper support zone

-29.29% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$166.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$203.15 - $268.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199.19, invalidation $311.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 36.6 / 27.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$151Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.66 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.53 (13.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.25%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$303.97 / $193.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$203.15 / $268.21Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.4 / 27.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $199.19, invalidation $311.8

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 36.6 / 27.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$151Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.66 / $265.83Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.117Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.4 / 27.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$32.53 (13.8%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.25%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$303.97 / $193.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$203.15 / $268.21Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

61.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-22.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.49xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$199.19Range

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