US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish61%
Monthly Downside probability 61%Bearish

IBM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.8 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.9, MACD -9.168

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $51.08 (22.68%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$252.98Bearish
EMA 21$249.8Bearish
EMA 50$216.52Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.9 · MACD -9.168

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $51.08 · BB 43.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.4 · OBV -99.47%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$144.45 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+70.32% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$383.54
Nearest resistance

+47.64% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$225.19
Nearest support

-35.85% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$144.45
Deeper support zone

-58.54% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$93.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$174.11 - $276.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $220.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 20.1 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$259.37 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.08 (22.68%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.02%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$359.63 / $142.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.11 / $276.26Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$144.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.168Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 31.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-99.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $220.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 20.1 / 21.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.61Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$259.37 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.168Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.5 / 31.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.08 (22.68%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 43.02%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$359.63 / $142.15Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$174.11 / $276.26Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-99.47%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.04xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$144.45Range

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