US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish59%
Monthly Downside probability 59%Bearish

IBM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $249.9 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 50.0, MACD -8.546

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $49.86 (20.49%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$252.26Bearish
EMA 21$249.9Bearish
EMA 50$217.88Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.0 · MACD -8.546

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $49.86 · BB 42.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.5 · OBV -70.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$157.89 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+57.15% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$382.32
Nearest resistance

+36.65% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$243.29
Nearest support

-35.1% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$157.89
Deeper support zone

-55.6% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$108.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$193.43 - $293.15

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $199.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.3 / 20.9 / 21.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$76.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.48 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.86 (20.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.77%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$357.51 / $144.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.43 / $293.15Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.546Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.1 / 25.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-70.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $199.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.3 / 20.9 / 21.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$76.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$261.48 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.546Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.1 / 25.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-82.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$49.86 (20.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 42.77%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$357.51 / $144.25Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.43 / $293.15Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.5Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-70.90%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.30xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.89Range

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