US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish61%
Monthly Upside probability 61%Bullish

IBM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $157.89 and reclaim $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $157.89 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 51.8, MACD -8.458

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $52.38 (20.72%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$248.35Bullish
EMA 21$248.23Bullish
EMA 50$218.38Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.8 · MACD -8.458

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $52.38 · BB 44.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 53.2 · OBV -74.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$157.89 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.2% · 2.5 ATR above latest close

$384.84
Nearest resistance

+31.49% · 1.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$252.85
Nearest support

-37.56% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$157.89
Deeper support zone

-58.27% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$105.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$200.46 - $305.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $199.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 21.6 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$265.83 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.38 (20.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 44.92%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$363.15 / $134.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$200.46 / $305.23Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.458Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.3 / 27.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $199.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 21.6 / 17.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$265.83 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.458Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.3 / 27.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.38 (20.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 44.92%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$363.15 / $134.96Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$200.46 / $305.23Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

53.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-74.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.89Range

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