US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish60%
Monthly Upside probability 60%Bullish

IBM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $135.87 and reclaim $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $135.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.9, MACD -7.698

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $52.36 (23.95%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$259.8Bearish
EMA 21$251.81Bearish
EMA 50$215.97Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.9 · MACD -7.698

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $52.36 · BB 44.26%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.8 · OBV -52.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$135.87 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+76.05% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$384.82
Nearest resistance

+52.09% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$218.59
Nearest support

-37.84% · 1.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$135.87
Deeper support zone

-61.8% · 2.6 ATR below latest close

$83.51
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$166.23 - $270.95

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $324.9, invalidation $212.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 23.3 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.2 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.36 (23.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 44.26%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$368.81 / $137.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$166.23 / $270.95Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.698Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 46.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-52.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $324.9, invalidation $212.34

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.7 / 23.3 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$88.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$260.2 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-7.698Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.2 / 46.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-53.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$52.36 (23.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 44.26%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$368.81 / $137.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$166.23 / $270.95Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.8Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-52.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$135.87Range

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