US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish70%
Monthly Downside probability 70%Bearish

IBM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $245.49 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.6, MACD -10.385

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $50.66 (22.75%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$241.64Bearish
EMA 21$245.49Bearish
EMA 50$217.19Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD -10.385

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $50.66 · BB 47.07%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 50.6 · OBV -97.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$157.89 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+72.08% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$383.12
Nearest resistance

+49.33% · 2.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$222.64
Nearest support

-29.09% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$157.89
Deeper support zone

-51.84% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$107.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$171.98 - $273.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $199.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.8 / 21.7 / 18.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$265.83 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.66 (22.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.07%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$355.44 / $136.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$171.98 / $273.3Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.385Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.6 / 19.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-97.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $199.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.8 / 21.7 / 18.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.05Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$265.83 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-10.385Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.6 / 19.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$50.66 (22.75%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 47.07%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$355.44 / $136.91Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$171.98 / $273.3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

50.6Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-97.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.18xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$157.89Range

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