US stock / ETF

International Business Machines Corporation

IBM · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish71%
Monthly Downside probability 71%Bearish

IBM 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $250.76 and stabilize above resistance $332.46.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $332.46 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.7, MACD -8.498

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $51.9 (22.02%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$255.31Bearish
EMA 21$250.76Bearish
EMA 50$216.93Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.7 · MACD -8.498

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $51.9 · BB 41.96%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.0 · OBV -87.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$144.45 - $332.46

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+63.09% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$384.36
Nearest resistance

+41.06% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$332.46
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$235.68
Nearest support

-38.71% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$144.45
Deeper support zone

-60.73% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$92.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$183.78 - $287.58

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $220.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 19.8 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$259.37 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.9 (22.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.96%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$362.94 / $140.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$183.78 / $287.58Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$144.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.498Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.4 / 34.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-87.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.46, invalidation $220.72

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 19.8 / 21.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$65.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$259.37 / $224Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.498Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.4 / 34.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-100.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$51.9 (22.02%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 41.96%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$362.94 / $140.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$183.78 / $287.58Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-87.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$332.46Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$144.45Range

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