US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish80%
4h Downside probability 80%Bearish

CRCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $83.36 and stabilize above resistance $93.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $93.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.0, MACD -0.048

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.12 (2.61%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$82.25Bearish
EMA 21$83.36Bearish
EMA 50$85.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.0 · MACD -0.048

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.12 · BB 7.09%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.8 · OBV -0.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$79.75 - $93.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.95% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$95.62
Nearest resistance

+15.33% · 5.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$93.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.07
Nearest support

-1.63% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$79.75
Deeper support zone

-4.24% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$77.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.95 - $83.19

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.74, invalidation $80.14

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 27.7 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$83.51 / $89.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.12 (2.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.09%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.03 / $79.53Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.95 / $83.19Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.048Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.6 / 10.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $86.74, invalidation $80.14

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.7 / 27.7 / 21.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$75.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$83.51 / $89.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.048Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.6 / 10.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-115.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.12 (2.61%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.09%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$87.03 / $79.53Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.95 / $83.19Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.37%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.55xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$93.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.75Range

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