US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CRCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $62.52 and stabilize above resistance $73.77.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $73.77 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -0.273

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $1.89 (3.13%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$60.98Bearish
EMA 21$62.52Bearish
EMA 50$65.38Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -0.273

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.89 · BB 12.29%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 49.8 · OBV -3.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$58.63 - $73.77

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.39% · 8.1 ATR above latest close

$75.66
Nearest resistance

+22.26% · 7.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$73.77
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$60.34
Nearest support

-2.83% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$58.63
Deeper support zone

-5.97% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$56.74
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$58.45 - $62.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $58.63, invalidation $66.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.3 / 23.0 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$64.28 / $67.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.89 (3.13%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.29%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$66.39 / $58.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.45 / $62.23Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$73.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.63Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.273Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 16.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $58.63, invalidation $66.85

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.3 / 23.0 / 24.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$54.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$64.28 / $67.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.273Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.8 / 16.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-91.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$1.89 (3.13%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.29%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$66.39 / $58.47Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$58.45 / $62.23Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.8Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.59xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$73.77Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$58.63Range

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