US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish83%
4h Downside probability 83%Bearish

CRCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $75.79 and stabilize above resistance $87.27.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $87.27 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 41.5, MACD 0.109

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $2.84 (3.87%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$72.29Bullish
EMA 21$75.79Bearish
EMA 50$83.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD 0.109

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.84 · BB 23.73%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 15.0 · OBV -26.67%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$67.73 - $87.27

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.82% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$90.11
Nearest resistance

+18.95% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$87.27
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$73.37
Nearest support

-7.68% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$67.73
Deeper support zone

-11.55% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$64.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$70.53 - $76.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $67.73, invalidation $84.83

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 23.3 / 40.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.88 / $91.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.84 (3.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.73%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.24 / $69.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.53 / $76.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$87.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$67.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.109Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.0 / 23.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $67.73, invalidation $84.83

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 23.3 / 40.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$64.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$74.88 / $91.01Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.109Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.0 / 23.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$2.84 (3.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.73%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$81.24 / $69.78Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$70.53 / $76.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-26.67%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.74xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$87.27Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$67.73Range

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