US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish90%
4h Downside probability 90%Bearish

CRCL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $88.58 and stabilize above resistance $103.49.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $103.49 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.3, MACD -1.395

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.64 (4.51%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$84.34Bearish
EMA 21$88.58Bearish
EMA 50$89.9Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.3 · MACD -1.395

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.64 · BB 21.14%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 34.3 · OBV -10.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.26 - $103.49

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+32.67% · 7.3 ATR above latest close

$107.13
Nearest resistance

+28.16% · 6.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$103.49
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$80.75
Nearest support

-3.08% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.26
Deeper support zone

-7.59% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$74.62
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$77.11 - $84.39

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $89.25, invalidation $86.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 13.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$69.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.44 / $90.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.64 (4.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.14%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$96.09 / $80.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.11 / $84.39Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.395Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.6 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-163.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $89.25, invalidation $86.38

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.0 / 13.1 / 32.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$69.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$88.44 / $90.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.395Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.6 / 7.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-163.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.64 (4.51%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.14%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$96.09 / $80.7Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$77.11 / $84.39Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.79xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$103.49Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.26Range

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