US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CRCL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $84.99 and stabilize above resistance $99.97.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $99.97 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.5, MACD -0.222

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $3.03 (3.73%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$82.82Bearish
EMA 21$84.99Bearish
EMA 50$86.2Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.5 · MACD -0.222

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.03 · BB 16.25%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 43.0 · OBV -12.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$78.26 - $99.97

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.97% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$103
Nearest resistance

+23.24% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$99.97
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.12
Nearest support

-3.52% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$78.26
Deeper support zone

-7.25% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$75.23
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.09 - $84.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.14, invalidation $86.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 12.9 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.68 / $90.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.03 (3.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.25%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.66 / $79.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.09 / $84.14Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$99.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $80.14, invalidation $86.74

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.3 / 12.9 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$71.79Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$86.68 / $90.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.222Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.9 / 25.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$3.03 (3.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.25%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$90.66 / $79.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.09 / $84.14Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.94%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$99.97Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$78.26Range

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