US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

CINF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $164.58 and stabilize above resistance $175.08.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $175.08 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.9, MACD 0.062

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.23 (1.38%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$162.21Bearish
EMA 21$164.58Bearish
EMA 50$168.21Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.9 · MACD 0.062

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.23 · BB 9.94%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 22.3 · OBV -31.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$159.2 - $175.08

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.71% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$177.31
Nearest resistance

+8.33% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$175.08
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$161.61
Nearest support

-1.49% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$159.2
Deeper support zone

-2.87% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$156.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$159.38 - $163.84

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.2, invalidation $163.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.5 / 6.5 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$156.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$164.34 / $172.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.23 (1.38%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.94%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.48 / $160.32Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$159.38 / $163.84Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$175.08Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.062Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $159.2, invalidation $163.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

54.5 / 6.5 / 30.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$156.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$164.34 / $172.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.062Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.1 / 26.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.23 (1.38%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.94%

29%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.48 / $160.32Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$159.38 / $163.84Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.82xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$175.08Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159.2Range

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