US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish77%
Daily Downside probability 77%Bearish

CINF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $173.36 and stabilize above resistance $186.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $186.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 48.5, MACD 0.177

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.54 (1.47%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$171.87Bullish
EMA 21$173.36Bearish
EMA 50$174.14Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD 0.177

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.54 · BB 7.88%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 35.5 · OBV 0.45%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$166.73 - $186.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.89% · 6.1 ATR above latest close

$188.73
Nearest resistance

+7.42% · 5.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$186.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$173.33
Nearest support

-3.81% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$166.73
Deeper support zone

-5.28% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$164.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$170.79 - $175.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $166.73, invalidation $175.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.8 / 20.2 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$166.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$173.41 / $180.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.54 (1.47%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.88%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$177.69 / $168.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.79 / $175.87Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$186.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$166.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.177Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.3 / 63.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $166.73, invalidation $175.27

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.8 / 20.2 / 38.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$166.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$173.41 / $180.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.177Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.3 / 63.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

3.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.54 (1.47%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.88%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$177.69 / $168.79Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$170.79 / $175.87Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.45%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.02xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$186.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$166.73Range

Related Forecasts