US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish75%
Daily Downside probability 75%Bearish

CINF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $171.4 and stabilize above resistance $181.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.9, MACD 0.235

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.71 (1.6%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$170.65Bearish
EMA 21$171.4Bearish
EMA 50$172.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.9 · MACD 0.235

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.71 · BB 3.99%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 46.2 · OBV 2.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$166.73 - $181

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.13% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$183.71
Nearest resistance

+6.53% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$169.9
Nearest support

-1.87% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$166.73
Deeper support zone

-3.46% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$164.02
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$167.19 - $172.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $175.08, invalidation $167.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 25.2 / 21.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$161.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$170.97 / $180.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.71 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.99%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$177.28 / $165.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$167.19 / $172.61Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$166.73Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.235Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 43.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $175.08, invalidation $167.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.0 / 25.2 / 21.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$161.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$170.97 / $180.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

38%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.235Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 43.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-43.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.71 (1.6%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.99%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$177.28 / $165.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$167.19 / $172.61Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.55xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$166.73Range

Related Forecasts