US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish79%
Daily Downside probability 79%Bearish

CINF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $178.84 and stabilize above resistance $194.81.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $194.81 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD -0.692

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.27 (2.42%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$178.17Bearish
EMA 21$178.84Bearish
EMA 50$176.21Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD -0.692

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.27 · BB 6.49%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 25.0 · OBV 3.90%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$171.62 - $194.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.57% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$199.08
Nearest resistance

+10.15% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$194.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.86
Nearest support

-2.96% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$171.62
Deeper support zone

-5.38% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$167.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$172.59 - $181.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $172.87, invalidation $181

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 14.7 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$163.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.3 / $175.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.27 (2.42%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.49%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.36 / $169.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$172.59 / $181.13Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$171.62Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.692Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 35.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.90%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $172.87, invalidation $181

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.3 / 14.7 / 32.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$163.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$180.3 / $175.21Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.692Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 35.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-56.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.27 (2.42%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.49%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.36 / $169.36Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$172.59 / $181.13Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.90%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$171.62Range

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