US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish72%
Weekly Downside probability 72%Bearish

CRCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $94.14 and stabilize above resistance $140.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -1.311

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.09 (25.96%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$88.36Bearish
EMA 21$94.14Bearish
EMA 50$110.92Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -1.311

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.09 · BB 76.57%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.9 · OBV 45.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$49.9 - $140

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+116.38% · 4.5 ATR above latest close

$159.09
Nearest resistance

+90.42% · 3.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$73.52
Nearest support

-32.13% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$49.9
Deeper support zone

-58.09% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$30.81
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$54.43 - $92.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140, invalidation $84.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.1 / 19.4 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.33 / $156.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.09 (25.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 76.57%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.61 / $58.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.43 / $92.61Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.311Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 4.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

45.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140, invalidation $84.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.1 / 19.4 / 30.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$99.33 / $156.09Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.311Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.4 / 4.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-94.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.09 (25.96%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 76.57%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$128.61 / $58.97Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$54.43 / $92.61Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

45.15%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.80xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.9Range

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