US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

CRCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $80.96 and stabilize above resistance $140.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -2.194

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $15.89 (23.84%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$69.38Bearish
EMA 21$80.96Bearish
EMA 50$100.88Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -2.194

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $15.89 · BB 87.55%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 48.3 · OBV 28.85%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$49.9 - $140

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+133.83% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$155.89
Nearest resistance

+109.99% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$66.67
Nearest support

-25.15% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$49.9
Deeper support zone

-48.99% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$34.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$50.78 - $82.56

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140, invalidation $84.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 21.7 / 22.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.19 / $119.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.89 (23.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.55%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.55 / $53.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.78 / $82.56Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.194Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 6.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140, invalidation $84.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 21.7 / 22.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$22.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$85.19 / $119.91Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.194Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.5 / 6.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-95.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$15.89 (23.84%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 87.55%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$107.55 / $53.03Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$50.78 / $82.56Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

28.85%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.97xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.9Range

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