US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish83%
Weekly Downside probability 83%Bearish

CRCL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $86.57 and stabilize above resistance $140.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $140 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -3.253

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17 (28.12%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$75.15Bearish
EMA 21$86.57Bearish
EMA 50$105.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -3.253

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $17 · BB 80.48%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.1 · OBV -34.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$49.9 - $140

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+159.68% · 5.7 ATR above latest close

$157
Nearest resistance

+131.56% · 4.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$140
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$60.46
Nearest support

-17.47% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$49.9
Deeper support zone

-45.59% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$32.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$43.46 - $77.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140, invalidation $84.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 20.7 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.85 / $140.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17 (28.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.48%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.81 / $52.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$43.46 / $77.46Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.253Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.2 / 3.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140, invalidation $84.27

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.4 / 20.7 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$12Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$91.85 / $140.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.253Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.2 / 3.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-147.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17 (28.12%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.48%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$119.81 / $52.16Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$43.46 / $77.46Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-34.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.70xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$140Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$49.9Range

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