US stock / ETF

Circle Internet Group, Inc.

CRCL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CRCL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $82.18 and stabilize above resistance $86.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $86.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.5, MACD -0.272

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7622 (0.94%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$81.05Bullish
EMA 21$82.18Bearish
EMA 50$82.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.5 · MACD -0.272

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7622 · BB 9.28%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 37.4 · OBV -2.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$79.75 - $86.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.87% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$87.5
Nearest resistance

+6.93% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$86.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$81.12
Nearest support

-1.68% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$79.75
Deeper support zone

-2.62% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$78.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$80.35 - $81.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.75, invalidation $84.68

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.3 / 9.9 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.19 / $83.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7622 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.28%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.85 / $80.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.35 / $81.88Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.75Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.272Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 18.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $79.75, invalidation $84.68

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.3 / 9.9 / 44.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$78.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$82.19 / $83.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.272Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

27.7 / 18.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-72.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-70.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7622 (0.94%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.28%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$83.85 / $80.39Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$80.35 / $81.88Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$86.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$79.75Range

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