US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish64%
4h Downside probability 64%Bearish

COF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $217.89 and stabilize above resistance $227.96.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $227.96 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.6, MACD 0.082

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.12 (0.97%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$217.17Bearish
EMA 21$217.89Bearish
EMA 50$218.25Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.6 · MACD 0.082

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.12 · BB 2.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 26.4 · OBV -2.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$211.32 - $227.96

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.02% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$230.08
Nearest resistance

+5.05% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$227.96
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$217.01
Nearest support

-2.62% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$211.32
Deeper support zone

-3.6% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$209.2
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$214.89 - $219.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $214.56, invalidation $218.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 28.3 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.51 / $219.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.12 (0.97%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.55%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.31 / $213.35Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.89 / $219.13Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$227.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$211.32Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.082Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 35.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-0.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $214.56, invalidation $218.39

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.1 / 28.3 / 39.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$210.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$217.51 / $219.64Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.082Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.4 / 35.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-0.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.12 (0.97%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.55%

50%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$222.31 / $213.35Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.89 / $219.13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.41xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$227.96Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$211.32Range

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