US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish56%
4h Upside probability 56%Bullish

COF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $190.07 and reclaim $201.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $190.07 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 48.5, MACD 0.231

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.86 (0.95%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$195.34Bullish
EMA 21$195.71Bearish
EMA 50$198.39Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.5 · MACD 0.231

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $1.86 · BB 3.36%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 25.8 · OBV -6.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.07 - $201.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.89% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$203.22
Nearest resistance

+2.93% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$201.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$195.62
Nearest support

-2.84% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.07
Deeper support zone

-3.79% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$188.21
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$193.76 - $197.48

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197.92, invalidation $194.08

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.3 / 26.5 / 20.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.13 / $198.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.86 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.36%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$198.79 / $192.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.76 / $197.48Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$201.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.231Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.9 / 41.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $197.92, invalidation $194.08

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.3 / 26.5 / 20.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$195.13 / $198.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

62%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.231Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.9 / 41.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

20.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.86 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.36%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$198.79 / $192.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.76 / $197.48Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$201.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.07Range

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