US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish84%
Daily Downside probability 84%Bearish

COF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $211.8 and stabilize above resistance $228.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $228.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.4, MACD -1.685

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.83 (2.37%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$207.86Bearish
EMA 21$211.8Bearish
EMA 50$210.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.4 · MACD -1.685

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.83 · BB 9.89%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.0 · OBV -9.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$200.55 - $228.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.3% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$232.97
Nearest resistance

+11.93% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$228.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.83
Nearest support

-1.61% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$200.55
Deeper support zone

-3.98% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$195.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$199 - $208.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $221.1, invalidation $205.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.2 / 10.2 / 35.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.5 / $209.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.83 (2.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.89%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.04 / $202.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$199 / $208.66Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.55Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.685Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 16.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $221.1, invalidation $205.3

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.2 / 10.2 / 35.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$190.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$212.5 / $209.76Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.685Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.0 / 16.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.83 (2.37%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.89%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$221.04 / $202.3Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$199 / $208.66Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.55Range

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