US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

1 dayBearish65%
Daily Downside probability 65%Bearish

COF 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $216.88 and stabilize above resistance $228.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $228.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.5, MACD -1.210

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $4.53 (2.09%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$217.77Bearish
EMA 21$216.88Bearish
EMA 50$210.84Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.5 · MACD -1.210

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.53 · BB 6.58%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 57.9 · OBV -4.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$195.89 - $228.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.39% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$232.67
Nearest resistance

+5.29% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$228.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$216.67
Nearest support

-9.59% · 4.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$195.89
Deeper support zone

-11.68% · 5.6 ATR below latest close

$191.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$212.14 - $221.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.32, invalidation $220

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 19.3 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$202.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.14 / $209.76Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.53 (2.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.58%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.54 / $207.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.14 / $221.2Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$195.89Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.210Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.8 / 33.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $211.32, invalidation $220

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.5 / 19.3 / 29.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$202.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$215.14 / $209.76Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.210Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.8 / 33.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.53 (2.09%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.58%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.54 / $207.59Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$212.14 / $221.2Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.78%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.19xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$195.89Range

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