US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish58%
Weekly Downside probability 58%Bearish

COF 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $204.42 and stabilize above resistance $228.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $228.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.2, MACD -1.519

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $11.59 (5.92%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$203.21Bearish
EMA 21$204.42Bearish
EMA 50$203.63Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.2 · MACD -1.519

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $11.59 · BB 22.86%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.6 · OBV 4.82%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$174.24 - $228.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.46% · 3.8 ATR above latest close

$239.73
Nearest resistance

+16.54% · 2.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$228.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$195.76
Nearest support

-10.99% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$174.24
Deeper support zone

-16.91% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$162.65
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.17 - $207.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.14, invalidation $191.38

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 14.3 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.08 / $216.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.59 (5.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.86%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.39 / $182.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.17 / $207.35Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$174.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.519Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 17.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.14, invalidation $191.38

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.5 / 14.3 / 28.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$162.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$205.08 / $216.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.519Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 17.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-60.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$11.59 (5.92%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.86%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$226.39 / $182.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.17 / $207.35Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

4.82%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.28xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$174.24Range

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