US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish54%
Weekly Downside probability 54%Bearish

COF 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $204.12 and stabilize above resistance $228.14.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $228.14 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.5, MACD -0.978

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $10.72 (5.27%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$203.1Bullish
EMA 21$204.12Bearish
EMA 50$203.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.5 · MACD -0.978

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.72 · BB 15.75%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 55.4 · OBV 0.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$174.24 - $228.14

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.41% · 3.3 ATR above latest close

$238.86
Nearest resistance

+12.14% · 2.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$228.14
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.44
Nearest support

-14.35% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$174.24
Deeper support zone

-19.62% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$163.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$192.72 - $214.16

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.14, invalidation $189.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 20.4 / 19.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$173.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$203.31 / $216.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.72 (5.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.75%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.72 / $184.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.72 / $214.16Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$174.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.978Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 32.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-34.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $228.14, invalidation $189.78

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.2 / 20.4 / 19.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$173.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$203.31 / $216.94Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.978Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 32.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-34.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$10.72 (5.27%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 15.75%

39%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$223.72 / $184.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$192.72 / $214.16Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.91%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.26xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$228.14Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$174.24Range

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