US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish87%
12h Downside probability 87%Bearish

COF 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $209.85 and stabilize above resistance $224.61.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $224.61 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.1, MACD -0.593

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.21 (1.57%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$206.35Bearish
EMA 21$209.85Bearish
EMA 50$212.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.1 · MACD -0.593

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.21 · BB 8.81%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 23.9 · OBV -110.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$200.76 - $224.61

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.82% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$227.82
Nearest resistance

+10.25% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$224.61
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.73
Nearest support

-1.46% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$200.76
Deeper support zone

-3.03% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$197.55
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$200.52 - $206.94

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.76, invalidation $208.82

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 10.3 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$208.47 / $214.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.21 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.81%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$216.27 / $203.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$200.52 / $206.94Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.593Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 19.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $200.76, invalidation $208.82

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 10.3 / 45.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$194.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$208.47 / $214.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.593Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 19.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-107.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 12Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.21 (1.57%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.81%

14%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$216.27 / $203.02Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$200.52 / $206.94Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

23.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-110.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$224.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.76Range

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