US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish59%
1h Downside probability 59%Bearish

COF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $204.02 and stabilize above resistance $209.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $209.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.6, MACD -0.204

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.94 (0.95%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$204.88Bearish
EMA 21$204.02Bearish
EMA 50$201.22Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.6 · MACD -0.204

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.94 · BB 4.39%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 35.4 · OBV -12.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$196.52 - $209.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.8% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$211.72
Nearest resistance

+2.85% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$209.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.97
Nearest support

-3.65% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$196.52
Deeper support zone

-4.61% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$194.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$202.03 - $205.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $206.82, invalidation $203.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.6 / 42.5 / 25.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$199.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.06 / $203.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.39%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.73 / $201.48Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.03 / $205.91Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$209.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$196.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.204Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 40.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $206.82, invalidation $203.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

42.6 / 42.5 / 25.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$199.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.06 / $203.14Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

46%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.204Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

23.3 / 40.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-10.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.39%

46%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.73 / $201.48Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.03 / $205.91Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$209.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$196.52Range

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