US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish87%
1h Downside probability 87%Bearish

COF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $204.87 and stabilize above resistance $208.82.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $208.82 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.6, MACD -0.101

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.7 (0.84%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$203.97Bearish
EMA 21$204.87Bearish
EMA 50$206.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.6 · MACD -0.101

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.7 · BB 3.11%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 54.2 · OBV -0.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$200.76 - $208.82

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.61% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$210.52
Nearest resistance

+2.77% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$208.82
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$203.19
Nearest support

-1.2% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$200.76
Deeper support zone

-2.03% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$199.06
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$201.49 - $204.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $206.75, invalidation $202.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.1 / 14.2 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$199.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.7 / $206.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.7 (0.84%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.11%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$207.42 / $202.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.49 / $204.89Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$208.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.101Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 37.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $206.75, invalidation $202.96

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.1 / 14.2 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$199.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$204.7 / $206.02Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.101Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.6 / 37.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.7 (0.84%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.11%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$207.42 / $202.19Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$201.49 / $204.89Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.86xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$208.82Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$200.76Range

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