US stock / ETF

Capital One Financial

COF · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish64%
Monthly Downside probability 64%Bearish

COF 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $195.66 and stabilize above resistance $259.64.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $259.64 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 51.7, MACD -4.295

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $26.87 (13.73%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$200.52Bearish
EMA 21$195.66Bearish
EMA 50$171.74Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.7 · MACD -4.295

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $26.87 · BB 32.93%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.5 · OBV 32.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$123.23 - $259.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+46.46% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$286.5
Nearest resistance

+32.72% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$259.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$195.62
Nearest support

-37.01% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$123.23
Deeper support zone

-50.74% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$96.36
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$168.75 - $222.49

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.24, invalidation $228.14

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 22.4 / 18.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$198.39 / $171.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26.87 (13.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.93%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$250.42 / $142.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$168.75 / $222.49Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.295Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 31.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

32.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.24, invalidation $228.14

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.5 / 22.4 / 18.5Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$112.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$198.39 / $171.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.295Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 31.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$26.87 (13.73%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 32.93%

37%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$250.42 / $142.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$168.75 / $222.49Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

32.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.14xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$259.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$123.23Range

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