US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish57%
4h Downside probability 57%Bearish

CME 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $243.43 and stabilize above resistance $248.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.4, MACD -0.503

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.21 (0.91%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$244.06Bearish
EMA 21$243.43Bearish
EMA 50$241.74Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.4 · MACD -0.503

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.21 · BB 2.69%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 56.6 · OBV -1.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$235.84 - $248.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.7% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$250.96
Nearest resistance

+2.79% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$242
Nearest support

-2.55% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$235.84
Deeper support zone

-3.46% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$233.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$239.79 - $244.21

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.75, invalidation $242.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 18.1 / 22.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$236.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$243.84 / $233.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.21 (0.91%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.69%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.35 / $238.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$239.79 / $244.21Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$235.84Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.503Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 24.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.53xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.75, invalidation $242.02

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.7 / 18.1 / 22.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$236.28Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$243.84 / $233.67Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.503Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 24.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.21 (0.91%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.69%

18%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$248.35 / $238.69Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$239.79 / $244.21Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.53xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$235.84Range

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