US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish54%
4h Upside probability 54%Bullish

CME 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $285.95 and reclaim $309.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $285.95 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 45.7, MACD -0.880

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.52 (1.18%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$304.6Bearish
EMA 21$301.75Bearish
EMA 50$293.69Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.7 · MACD -0.880

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.52 · BB 6.87%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 72.2 · OBV -79.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$285.95 - $309.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.01% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$312.92
Nearest resistance

+3.83% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$309.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$297.99
Nearest support

-4.04% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$285.95
Deeper support zone

-5.22% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$282.43
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$294.47 - $301.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.4, invalidation $303.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 30.3 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$292.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.65 / $292.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.52 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.87%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$308.33 / $295.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$294.47 / $301.51Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$285.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.880Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 63.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

72.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-79.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $309.4, invalidation $303.9

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.0 / 30.3 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$292.42Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$300.65 / $292.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

51%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.880Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.5 / 63.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-21.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.52 (1.18%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.87%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$308.33 / $295.76Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$294.47 / $301.51Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

72.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-79.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$285.95Range

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