US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish78%
4h Upside probability 78%Bullish

CME 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $262.77 and reclaim $282.71.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $262.77 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 60.5, MACD -0.205

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.94 (0.7%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$279.65Bearish
EMA 21$277.35Bullish
EMA 50$272.6Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.5 · MACD -0.205

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $1.94 · BB 3.78%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 66.4 · OBV 2.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$262.77 - $282.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.87% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$284.65
Nearest resistance

+1.18% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$282.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$279.42
Nearest support

-5.96% · 8.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$262.77
Deeper support zone

-6.65% · 9.6 ATR below latest close

$260.82
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$277.48 - $281.36

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $282.71, invalidation $278.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.3 / 23.2 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$274.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$276.38 / $269.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.78%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$281.14 / $273.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$277.48 / $281.36Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$282.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$262.77Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.205Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.3 / 74.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

68.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.96%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.60xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $282.71, invalidation $278.3

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

23.3 / 23.2 / 29.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$274.78Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$276.38 / $269.7Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

74%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.205Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

65.3 / 74.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-34.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

68.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.94 (0.7%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.78%

64%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$281.14 / $273.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$277.48 / $281.36Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

66.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.96%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.60xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$282.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$262.77Range

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