US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish74%
12h Downside probability 74%Bearish

CME 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $253.22 and stabilize above resistance $307.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $307.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 22.7, MACD -2.867

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.62 (3.86%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$238.61Bearish
EMA 21$253.22Bearish
EMA 50$269.03Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 22.7 · MACD -2.867

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.62 · BB 20.80%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.5 · OBV -523.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$221.1 - $307.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.8% · 10.8 ATR above latest close

$316.48
Nearest resistance

+37.94% · 9.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$307.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.19
Nearest support

-0.93% · 0.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$221.1
Deeper support zone

-4.79% · 1.2 ATR below latest close

$212.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$214.57 - $231.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.71, invalidation $249.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 14.4 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$196.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$253.25 / $264.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.62 (3.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.80%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$270.33 / $234.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.57 / $231.8Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$307.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$221.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.867Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 1.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-207.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-523.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $269.71, invalidation $249.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.3 / 14.4 / 40.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$196.47Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$253.25 / $264.48Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

4%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

22.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.867Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.3 / 1.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-207.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.62 (3.86%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.80%

-6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$270.33 / $234.42Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$214.57 / $231.8Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-523.80%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.44xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$307.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$221.1Range

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