US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish89%
12h Downside probability 89%Bearish

CME 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $277.2 and stabilize above resistance $289.9.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $289.9 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.4, MACD -0.832

12h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.27 (1.2%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$276.12Bearish
EMA 21$277.2Bearish
EMA 50$274.01Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.4 · MACD -0.832

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.27 · BB 5.06%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 13.6 · OBV -16.03%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$270.16 - $289.9

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.6% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$293.17
Nearest resistance

+6.4% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$289.9
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$272.46
Nearest support

-0.84% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$270.16
Deeper support zone

-2.05% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$266.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$269.19 - $275.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $282.05, invalidation $272.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.1 / 21.0 / 42.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$262.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.07 / $273.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.27 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.06%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$284.24 / $270.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$269.19 / $275.73Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$270.16Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.832Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.3 / 22.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $282.05, invalidation $272.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.1 / 21.0 / 42.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$262.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$278.07 / $273.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.832Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.3 / 22.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-132.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.27 (1.2%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.06%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$284.24 / $270.17Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$269.19 / $275.73Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

13.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.03%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.62xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$289.9Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$270.16Range

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