US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CME 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $267.53 and stabilize above resistance $329.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $329.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.7, MACD -5.941

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.46 (7.53%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$250.29Bearish
EMA 21$267.53Bearish
EMA 50$272.08Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.7 · MACD -5.941

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.46 · BB 39.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV -58.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$218.31 - $329.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+41.86% · 5.6 ATR above latest close

$347.62
Nearest resistance

+34.32% · 4.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$329.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.05
Nearest support

-10.91% · 1.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$218.31
Deeper support zone

-18.44% · 2.4 ATR below latest close

$199.85
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$226.59 - $263.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.31, invalidation $308.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.1 / 11.4 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$183.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$268.45 / $273.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.46 (7.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.02%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$307.88 / $225.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.59 / $263.51Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.941Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 24.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-58.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.31, invalidation $308.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.1 / 11.4 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$183.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$268.45 / $273.74Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.941Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.8 / 24.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-98.5Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.46 (7.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 39.02%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$307.88 / $225.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$226.59 / $263.51Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-58.62%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.31Range

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