US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekRange49%
Weekly Range probability 98%Range

CME 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $218.31 - $329.16 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 54.4, MACD 2.933

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.6 (6.26%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$267.13Bullish
EMA 21$268.6Bullish
EMA 50$271.48Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 54.4 · MACD 2.933

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $17.6 · BB 30.51%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 56.7 · OBV 0.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$218.31 - $329.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.43% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$346.76
Nearest resistance

+17.16% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$329.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$280.94
Nearest support

-22.29% · 3.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$218.31
Deeper support zone

-28.56% · 4.6 ATR below latest close

$200.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$263.34 - $298.54

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.31, invalidation $308.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.6 / 17.9 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$231.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.12 / $273.74Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.6 (6.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.51%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$299 / $237.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$263.34 / $298.54Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.31Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.933Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.3 / 69.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

49.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $218.31, invalidation $308.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.6 / 17.9 / 31.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$231.86Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$262.12 / $273.74Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

70%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

54.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

2.933Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.3 / 69.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.7Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

49.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 6Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.6 (6.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.51%

67%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$299 / $237.53Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$263.34 / $298.54Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.10%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.47xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$218.31Range

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