US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

CME 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $276.33 and stabilize above resistance $328.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $328.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.5, MACD -8.015

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.68 (8.45%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$260.34Bearish
EMA 21$276.33Bearish
EMA 50$276.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.5 · MACD -8.015

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.68 · BB 33.54%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV -63.31%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$220.81 - $328.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+57.23% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$347.55
Nearest resistance

+48.78% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$328.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$221.05
Nearest support

-0.11% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$220.81
Deeper support zone

-8.56% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$202.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$202.37 - $239.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $244.72, invalidation $307.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.6 / 9.5 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$175.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$269.59 / $274.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.68 (8.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.54%

-19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$315.65 / $236.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.37 / $239.73Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$328.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$220.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.3 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-224.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.65xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $244.72, invalidation $307.87

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.6 / 9.5 / 39.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$175.41Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$269.59 / $274.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-8.015Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.3 / 11.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-224.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.68 (8.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.54%

-19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$315.65 / $236.07Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$202.37 / $239.73Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-63.31%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.65xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$328.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$220.81Range

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