US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish57%
Monthly Downside probability 57%Bearish

CME 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $265.67 and stabilize above resistance $329.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $329.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 52.1, MACD -4.170

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $30.93 (11.45%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$270.7Bearish
EMA 21$265.67Bullish
EMA 50$244.91Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.1 · MACD -4.170

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $30.93 · BB 26.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.4 · OBV -112.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$190.7 - $329.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.28% · 2.9 ATR above latest close

$360.09
Nearest resistance

+21.83% · 1.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$329.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$270.18
Nearest support

-29.42% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.7
Deeper support zone

-40.86% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$159.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$239.25 - $301.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $329.16, invalidation $218.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.1 / 18.4 / 18.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.09 / $247.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.93 (11.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.36%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$337.31 / $195.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$239.25 / $301.11Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.170Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.8 / 49.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-112.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $329.16, invalidation $218.31

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.1 / 18.4 / 18.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$271.09 / $247.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.170Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.8 / 49.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$30.93 (11.45%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.36%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$337.31 / $195.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$239.25 / $301.11Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-112.48%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.13xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.7Range

Related Forecasts