US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish55%
Monthly Downside probability 55%Bearish

CME 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $261.34 and stabilize above resistance $329.16.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $329.16 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.2, MACD -6.682

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $28.58 (11.66%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$264.47Bearish
EMA 21$261.34Bearish
EMA 50$240.46Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.2 · MACD -6.682

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $28.58 · BB 33.72%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 31.9 · OBV 69.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$190.7 - $329.16

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+45.99% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$357.74
Nearest resistance

+34.32% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$329.16
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$245.05
Nearest support

-22.18% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$190.7
Deeper support zone

-33.84% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$162.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$216.47 - $273.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $329.16, invalidation $257.17

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.7 / 16.4 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$138.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.83 / $247.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.58 (11.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.72%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$326.58 / $197.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.47 / $273.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.7Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.682Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

69.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $329.16, invalidation $257.17

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

59.7 / 16.4 / 21.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$138.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$266.83 / $247.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.2Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.682Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.1 / 19.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.9Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.58 (11.66%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 33.72%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$326.58 / $197.74Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$216.47 / $273.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

69.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.72xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$329.16Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$190.7Range

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