US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBearish63%
Monthly Downside probability 63%Bearish

CME 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $262.92 and stabilize above resistance $328.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $328.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.7, MACD -5.443

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $27.76 (12.56%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$270.08Bearish
EMA 21$262.92Bearish
EMA 50$239.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.7 · MACD -5.443

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $27.76 · BB 34.38%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.5 · OBV 2.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$192.42 - $328.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+61.33% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$356.63
Nearest resistance

+48.78% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$328.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$221.05
Nearest support

-12.95% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$192.42
Deeper support zone

-25.51% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$164.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$193.29 - $248.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $328.87, invalidation $257.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.7 / 19.8 / 21.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$156.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$267.74 / $247.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.76 (12.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.38%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$324.59 / $203.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.29 / $248.81Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$328.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$192.42Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.443Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.2 / 26.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.18xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $328.87, invalidation $257.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

62.7 / 19.8 / 21.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$156.38Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$267.74 / $247.71Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.443Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.2 / 26.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-99.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$27.76 (12.56%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 34.38%

-2%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$324.59 / $203.28Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$193.29 / $248.81Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.18xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$328.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$192.42Range

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