US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

CME 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $304.79 and stabilize above resistance $309.4.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $309.4 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.5, MACD -1.145

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.99 (0.67%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$303.43Bearish
EMA 21$304.79Bearish
EMA 50$302.77Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.5 · MACD -1.145

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.99 · BB 3.40%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 54.7 · OBV -2.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$297.79 - $309.4

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.5% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$311.39
Nearest resistance

+3.83% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$309.4
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$297.99
Nearest support

-0.07% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$297.79
Deeper support zone

-0.73% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$295.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$296 - $299.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $308.11, invalidation $306.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 18.1 / 54.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$292.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$303.33 / $297.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.99 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.40%

-25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$308.65 / $300.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$296 / $299.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.145Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.7 / 7.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-296.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $308.11, invalidation $306.86

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.1 / 18.1 / 54.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$292.99Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$303.33 / $297.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.145Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

1.7 / 7.0Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-98.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-296.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.99 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.40%

-25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$308.65 / $300.94Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$296 / $299.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.7Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.11%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$309.4Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$297.79Range

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