US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish82%
1h Downside probability 82%Bearish

CME 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $229.22 and stabilize above resistance $249.37.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $249.37 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 27.0, MACD 0.118

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.14 (0.96%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$224.08Bearish
EMA 21$229.22Bearish
EMA 50$238.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.0 · MACD 0.118

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.14 · BB 10.34%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 22.6 · OBV -15.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$221.1 - $249.37

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.69% · 13.3 ATR above latest close

$251.51
Nearest resistance

+11.73% · 12.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$249.37
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$223.19
Nearest support

-0.93% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$221.1
Deeper support zone

-1.89% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$218.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$221.05 - $225.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $221.1, invalidation $249.37

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

84.1 / 9.6 / 47.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.56 / $241.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.14 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.34%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$232.23 / $225.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.05 / $225.32Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$249.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$221.1Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.118Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.0 / 16.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $221.1, invalidation $249.37

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

84.1 / 9.6 / 47.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$218.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$229.56 / $241.34Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.118Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.0 / 16.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-78.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.14 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.34%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$232.23 / $225.42Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$221.05 / $225.32Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.23xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$249.37Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$221.1Range

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