US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish66%
1h Downside probability 66%Bearish

CME 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $279.89 and stabilize above resistance $282.71.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $282.71 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.0, MACD -0.215

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.12 (0.4%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$280.2Bearish
EMA 21$279.89Bearish
EMA 50$278.06Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.0 · MACD -0.215

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.12 · BB 1.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 30.1 · OBV 0.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$273.22 - $282.71

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.58% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$283.83
Nearest resistance

+1.18% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$282.71
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$279.42
Nearest support

-2.22% · 5.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$273.22
Deeper support zone

-2.62% · 6.6 ATR below latest close

$272.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$278.3 - $280.53

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $281.67, invalidation $278.75

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 32.0 / 28.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$276.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$280.37 / $277.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.12 (0.4%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.16%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$282.52 / $277.35Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$278.3 / $280.53Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$282.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$273.22Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.215Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.4 / 33.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-26.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.42xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $281.67, invalidation $278.75

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.2 / 32.0 / 28.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$276.3Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$280.37 / $277.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

27%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.215Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.4 / 33.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-26.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.12 (0.4%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.16%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$282.52 / $277.35Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$278.3 / $280.53Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.42xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$282.71Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$273.22Range

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