US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish78%
1h Downside probability 78%Bearish

CME 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $244.77 and stabilize above resistance $248.75.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $248.75 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.2, MACD -0.420

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.66 (0.68%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$244.13Bearish
EMA 21$244.77Bearish
EMA 50$244.12Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.2 · MACD -0.420

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.66 · BB 2.24%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 26.2 · OBV -12.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$242 - $248.75

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.47% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$250.41
Nearest resistance

+2.79% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$248.75
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$242
Nearest support

+0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$242
Deeper support zone

-0.68% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$240.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$240.34 - $243.66

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.75, invalidation $243.16

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 25.9 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$245.38 / $244.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.66 (0.68%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.24%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.07 / $240.45Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.34 / $243.66Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$242Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.420Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

7.94xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $248.75, invalidation $243.16

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.8 / 25.9 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$237.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$245.38 / $244.54Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.420Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 12.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.66 (0.68%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.24%

-5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$249.07 / $240.45Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$240.34 / $243.66Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-12.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

7.94xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$248.75Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$242Range

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