US stock / ETF

CME Group Inc.

CME · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish57%
3M Downside probability 57%Bearish

CME 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $223.85 and stabilize above resistance $328.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $328.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 51.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $36.96 (16.72%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$250.91Bearish
EMA 21$223.85Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 51.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $36.96 · BB 63.40%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 82.3 · OBV 165.74%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$146.9 - $328.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.49% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$365.83
Nearest resistance

+48.78% · 2.9 ATR above · 24-bar high

$328.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$221.05
Nearest support

-33.54% · 2.0 ATR below · 24-bar low

$146.9
Deeper support zone

-50.26% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$109.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$184.09 - $258.01

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $328.87, invalidation $257.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$141.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.96 (16.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.40%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$310.06 / $143.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.09 / $258.01Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$328.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$146.9Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.6 / 66.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

62.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

82.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

165.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $328.87, invalidation $257.34

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$141.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

51.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.6 / 66.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

62.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$36.96 (16.72%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 63.40%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$310.06 / $143.02Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$184.09 / $258.01Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

82.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

165.74%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.58xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$328.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$146.9Range

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