US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBullish59%
4h Upside probability 59%Bullish

CINF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $172.43 and reclaim $194.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $172.43 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.6, MACD 0.618

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.19 (1.21%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$178.5Bullish
EMA 21$178.83Bullish
EMA 50$179.45Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.6 · MACD 0.618

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $2.19 · BB 7.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 52.0 · OBV 13.78%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$172.43 - $194.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.7% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$196.51
Nearest resistance

+7.48% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$194.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$180.79
Nearest support

-4.62% · 3.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$172.43
Deeper support zone

-5.84% · 4.8 ATR below latest close

$170.24
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$178.6 - $182.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $172.43, invalidation $182.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.0 / 33.3 / 33.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$177.67 / $183.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.19 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.55%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$184.18 / $173.33Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$178.6 / $182.98Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$172.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.618Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.9 / 80.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

51.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.32xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $172.43, invalidation $182.66

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

13.0 / 33.3 / 33.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$177.67 / $183.38Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

78%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.618Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

77.9 / 80.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-22.1Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

51.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 5Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.19 (1.21%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.55%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$184.18 / $173.33Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$178.6 / $182.98Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

13.78%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.32xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$172.43Range

Related Forecasts