US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

CINF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $177.95 and stabilize above resistance $186.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $186.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.010

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.4 (0.79%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$177.56Bearish
EMA 21$177.95Bearish
EMA 50$178.65Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.010

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.4 · BB 1.71%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.2 · OBV 1.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$172.87 - $186.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.07% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$187.59
Nearest resistance

+5.28% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$186.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.86
Nearest support

-2.26% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$172.87
Deeper support zone

-3.05% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$171.47
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$175.46 - $178.26

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.38, invalidation $179.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 29.1 / 43.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$177.48 / $179.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.4 (0.79%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.71%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.74 / $175.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$175.46 / $178.26Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$186.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$172.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.010Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 38.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.38, invalidation $179.69

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.3 / 29.1 / 43.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$172.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$177.48 / $179.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

35%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.010Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.2 / 38.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.8Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-123.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.4 (0.79%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.71%

16%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.74 / $175.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$175.46 / $178.26Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.37xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$186.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$172.87Range

Related Forecasts