US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

CINF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $162.3 and stabilize above resistance $165.61.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $165.61 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD 0.226

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.02 (0.63%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$162.23Bearish
EMA 21$162.3Bearish
EMA 50$164Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD 0.226

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.02 · BB 2.92%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 59.6 · OBV -11.53%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$159 - $165.61

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.11% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$166.63
Nearest resistance

+2.48% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$165.61
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$161.61
Nearest support

-1.61% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$159
Deeper support zone

-2.25% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$157.98
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$160.59 - $162.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.6, invalidation $161.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.6 / 29.4 / 21.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$158.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$161.91 / $166.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.02 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.92%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$164.28 / $160.25Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$160.59 / $162.63Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$165.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.226Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 52.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-0.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.88xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.6, invalidation $161.46

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.6 / 29.4 / 21.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$158.59Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$161.91 / $166.1Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

56%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.226Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.0 / 52.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-76.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-0.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.02 (0.63%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.92%

49%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$164.28 / $160.25Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$160.59 / $162.63Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

59.6Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.53%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.88xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$165.61Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$159Range

Related Forecasts