US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CINF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $170.65 and stabilize above resistance $173.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $173.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.5, MACD -0.171

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.8400 (0.49%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$170.27Bearish
EMA 21$170.65Bearish
EMA 50$170.73Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.5 · MACD -0.171

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.8400 · BB 2.17%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 39.1 · OBV 2.29%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$169.02 - $173.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.43% · 4.9 ATR above latest close

$174.03
Nearest resistance

+1.94% · 3.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$173.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$169.9
Nearest support

-0.52% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$169.02
Deeper support zone

-1.01% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$168.18
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$169.06 - $170.74

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $169.02, invalidation $170.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.3 / 16.1 / 46.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$167.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$170.52 / $170.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8400 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.17%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$172.47 / $168.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$169.06 / $170.74Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$173.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$169.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.171Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.1 / 26.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.85xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $169.02, invalidation $170.64

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.3 / 16.1 / 46.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$167.16Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$170.52 / $170.87Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.171Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.1 / 26.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.9Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-88.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.8400 (0.49%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.17%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$172.47 / $168.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$169.06 / $170.74Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

2.29%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.85xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$173.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$169.02Range

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