US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish78%
1h Downside probability 78%Bearish

CINF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $162.38 and stabilize above resistance $163.7.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $163.7 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.9, MACD -0.168

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5112 (0.32%)

1h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$162.27Bearish
EMA 21$162.38Bearish
EMA 50$162.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD -0.168

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5112 · BB 1.41%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 33.3 · OBV -6.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$160.95 - $163.7

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.61% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$164.21
Nearest resistance

+1.29% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$163.7
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$161.61
Nearest support

-0.41% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$160.95
Deeper support zone

-0.72% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$160.44
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$161.1 - $162.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.6, invalidation $162.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 21.2 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$162.53 / $161.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5112 (0.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.41%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$163.35 / $161.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$161.1 / $162.12Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.95Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.168Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 10.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-159.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.73xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $163.6, invalidation $162.23

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.0 / 21.2 / 43.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$160.18Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$162.53 / $161.35Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.168Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 10.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-159.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5112 (0.32%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.41%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$163.35 / $161.44Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$161.1 / $162.12Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.73%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

6.73xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$163.7Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$160.95Range

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