US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CINF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $177.71 and stabilize above resistance $181.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.4, MACD -0.088

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.7749 (0.44%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$177.43Bearish
EMA 21$177.71Bearish
EMA 50$177.98Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.4 · MACD -0.088

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.7749 · BB 1.57%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 55.3 · OBV 9.43%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$176.38 - $181

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.78% · 6.3 ATR above latest close

$181.77
Nearest resistance

+2.34% · 5.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.86
Nearest support

-0.27% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$176.38
Deeper support zone

-0.71% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$175.61
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$176.09 - $177.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.38, invalidation $178.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.5 / 23.0 / 35.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$174.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.14 / $177.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7749 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.57%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$179.43 / $175.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.09 / $177.63Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.38Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.0 / 32.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.51xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $176.38, invalidation $178.34

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.5 / 23.0 / 35.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$174.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.14 / $177.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

18.0 / 32.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-130.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.7749 (0.44%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.57%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$179.43 / $175.97Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$176.09 / $177.63Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

55.3Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

9.43%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.51xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$176.38Range

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