US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 monthBullish92%
Monthly Upside probability 92%Bullish

CINF 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $98.65 and reclaim $194.81.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $98.65 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 62.8, MACD 0.829

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $14.61 (8.26%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$169.78Bullish
EMA 21$157.77Bullish
EMA 50$139.3Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 62.8 · MACD 0.829

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $14.61 · BB 30.77%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 74.4 · OBV -65.30%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$98.65 - $194.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+18.41% · 2.2 ATR above latest close

$209.42
Nearest resistance

+10.15% · 1.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$194.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.86
Nearest support

-44.22% · 5.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$98.65
Deeper support zone

-52.48% · 6.4 ATR below latest close

$84.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$162.25 - $191.47

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.27, invalidation $155.61

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 25.7 / 5.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$164.44 / $141.74Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.61 (8.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.77%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$189.59 / $127.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.25 / $191.47Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.829Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.8 / 75.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.2Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

133.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-65.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $174.27, invalidation $155.61

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.7 / 25.7 / 5.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$131.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$164.44 / $141.74Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

75%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

62.8Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.829Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

64.8 / 75.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-35.2Range
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

133.7Bullish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$14.61 (8.26%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 30.77%

89%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$189.59 / $127.62Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.25 / $191.47Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

74.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-65.30%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.19xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$98.65Range

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