US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish73%
12h Downside probability 73%Bearish

CINF 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $178.68 and stabilize above resistance $186.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $186.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.7, MACD -0.178

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $3.46 (1.96%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$178.06Bearish
EMA 21$178.68Bearish
EMA 50$177.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.7 · MACD -0.178

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.46 · BB 4.88%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 45.0 · OBV 3.37%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$172.43 - $186.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.23% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$189.65
Nearest resistance

+5.28% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$186.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$176.86
Nearest support

-2.5% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$172.43
Deeper support zone

-4.46% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$168.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$173.4 - $180.32

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $181, invalidation $174.61

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 16.6 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$170.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.23 / $182.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.46 (1.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.88%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$183.5 / $173.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.4 / $180.32Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$186.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$172.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.178Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 37.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $181, invalidation $174.61

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.2 / 16.6 / 32.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$170.32Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$178.23 / $182.36Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

30%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.178Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

30.0 / 37.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.46 (1.96%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.88%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$183.5 / $173.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$173.4 / $180.32Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.37%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.87xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$186.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$172.43Range

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