US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekRange47%
Weekly Range probability 94%Range

CINF 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Break either side of $153.4 - $194.81 with volume.

Invalidation Trigger

A trend close outside the ATR band changes the range thesis.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.4, MACD -1.337

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.74 (5.14%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$172.09Bearish
EMA 21$171.55Bearish
EMA 50$165.94Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.4 · MACD -1.337

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.74 · BB 18.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 51.0 · OBV 466.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$153.4 - $194.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+19.81% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$203.55
Nearest resistance

+14.66% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$194.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$169.9
Nearest support

-9.71% · 1.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$153.4
Deeper support zone

-14.86% · 2.9 ATR below latest close

$144.66
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$161.16 - $178.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $166.73, invalidation $175.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 19.4 / 20.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$149.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$175.28 / $172.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.74 (5.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.59%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$185.91 / $157.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$161.16 / $178.64Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$153.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 24.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

466.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $166.73, invalidation $175.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.0 / 19.4 / 20.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$149.8Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$175.28 / $172.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.337Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 24.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-19.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.74 (5.14%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.59%

41%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$185.91 / $157.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$161.16 / $178.64Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

51.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

466.71%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.66xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$153.4Range

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