US stock / ETF

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

CINF · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish88%
Weekly Downside probability 88%Bearish

CINF 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $169.12 and stabilize above resistance $194.81.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $194.81 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD -2.183

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.69 (4.76%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$166.63Bearish
EMA 21$169.12Bearish
EMA 50$165.47Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD -2.183

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.69 · BB 19.75%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.2 · OBV -18.65%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$153.4 - $194.81

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+25.3% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$202.5
Nearest resistance

+20.54% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$194.81
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$161.61
Nearest support

-5.08% · 1.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$153.4
Deeper support zone

-9.84% · 2.1 ATR below latest close

$145.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$153.92 - $169.3

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $166.73, invalidation $175.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 2.9 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$146.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$171.29 / $172.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.69 (4.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.75%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.22 / $158.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$153.92 / $169.3Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$153.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.183Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 6.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $166.73, invalidation $175.08

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.6 / 2.9 / 31.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$146.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$171.29 / $172.41Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.183Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 6.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-103.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.69 (4.76%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.75%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$180.22 / $158.04Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$153.92 / $169.3Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.65%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$194.81Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$153.4Range

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