US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish84%
4h Downside probability 84%Bearish

CAT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $720.32 and stabilize above resistance $793.64.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $793.64 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.3, MACD -1.736

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $12.63 (1.83%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$703.6Bearish
EMA 21$720.32Bearish
EMA 50$748.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.3 · MACD -1.736

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $12.63 · BB 8.97%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 58.4 · OBV -3.64%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$681.5 - $793.64

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.13% · 9.3 ATR above latest close

$806.27
Nearest resistance

+15.3% · 8.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$793.64
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$688.35
Nearest support

-1% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$681.5
Deeper support zone

-2.83% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$668.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$675.72 - $700.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $697.3, invalidation $714.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 18.6 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$650.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$714.15 / $773.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.63 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.97%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$745.4 / $692.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$675.72 / $700.98Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$793.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.736Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 12.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $697.3, invalidation $714.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 18.6 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$650.65Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$714.15 / $773.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.736Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.8 / 12.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$12.63 (1.83%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.97%

0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$745.4 / $692.95Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$675.72 / $700.98Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.4Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.64%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.32xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$793.64Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

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