US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish88%
4h Upside probability 88%Bullish

CAT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $545.21 and reclaim $635.02.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $545.21 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.5, MACD 3.222

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $11.21 (1.85%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$600.15Bullish
EMA 21$595.19Bullish
EMA 50$611.5Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.5 · MACD 3.222

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $11.21 · BB 8.15%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV 17.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$545.21 - $635.02

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.43% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$646.23
Nearest resistance

+4.58% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$635.02
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$607.2
Nearest support

-10.21% · 5.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$545.21
Deeper support zone

-12.06% · 6.5 ATR below latest close

$533.99
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$595.99 - $618.41

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $609.86, invalidation $589.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.1 / 31.9 / 30.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$575.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$590.53 / $632.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.21 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.15%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$615.5 / $574.91Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$595.99 / $618.41Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$635.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$545.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.222Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.6 / 80.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

94.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $609.86, invalidation $589.78

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

11.1 / 31.9 / 30.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$575.71Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$590.53 / $632.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

90%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.5Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

3.222Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

86.6 / 80.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-13.4Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

94.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$11.21 (1.85%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.15%

80%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$615.5 / $574.91Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$595.99 / $618.41Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

17.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.38xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$635.02Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$545.21Range

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