US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CAT 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $936.36 and stabilize above resistance $1,008.8.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,008.8 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.8, MACD -2.473

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $14.55 (1.63%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$921.58Bearish
EMA 21$936.36Bearish
EMA 50$953.42Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.8 · MACD -2.473

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $14.55 · BB 7.19%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.9 · OBV -226.35%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$891.07 - $1,008.8

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.84% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$1,023.3
Nearest resistance

+13.21% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,008.8
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$891.07
Nearest support

+0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$891.07
Deeper support zone

-1.63% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$876.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$876.52 - $905.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $926.26, invalidation $944.91

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 28.1 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$849.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$932.48 / $982.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.55 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.19%

-20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$967.1 / $903.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$876.52 / $905.62Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,008.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.473Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 11.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-283.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-226.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $926.26, invalidation $944.91

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 28.1 / 38.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$849.01Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$932.48 / $982.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.473Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 11.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-283.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$14.55 (1.63%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 7.19%

-20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$967.1 / $903.75Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$876.52 / $905.62Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-226.35%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.43xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,008.8Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

Related Forecasts