US stock / ETF

Space Exploration Technologies Corp.

SPCX · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish86%
Daily Downside probability 86%Bearish

SPCX 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Daily: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $152.28 and stabilize above resistance $176.42.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $176.42 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.8, MACD -1.599

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.27 (5.59%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$150.62Bearish
EMA 21$152.28Bearish
EMA 50$150.18Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD -1.599

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.27 · BB 19.82%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 35.7 · OBV -127.10%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$140.66 - $176.42

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.78% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$184.69
Nearest resistance

+19.19% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$176.42
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$148.01
Nearest support

-4.97% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$140.66
Deeper support zone

-10.56% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$132.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$139.74 - $156.28

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.66, invalidation $166.18

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 28.9 / 43.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$155.98 / $153.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.27 (5.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.82%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.77 / $135.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$139.74 / $156.28Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$176.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.66Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.599Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 28.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-127.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $140.66, invalidation $166.18

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 28.9 / 43.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$122.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$155.98 / $153.4Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.599Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.6 / 28.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.27 (5.59%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.82%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$168.77 / $135.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$139.74 / $156.28Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

35.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-127.10%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$176.42Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$140.66Range

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