US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish76%
1h Downside probability 76%Bearish

CAT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $928.68 and stabilize above resistance $964.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $964.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 24.9, MACD -4.262

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $7.18 (0.81%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$918.19Bearish
EMA 21$928.68Bearish
EMA 50$935.69Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 24.9 · MACD -4.262

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.18 · BB 6.21%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 42.6 · OBV -0.96%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$891.07 - $964.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.06% · 11.2 ATR above latest close

$971.81
Nearest resistance

+8.26% · 10.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$964.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$891.07
Nearest support

+0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$891.07
Deeper support zone

-0.81% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$883.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$883.89 - $898.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $944.91, invalidation $931.84

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 19.2 / 53.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$868.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$922.92 / $927.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.18 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.21%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$946.79 / $909.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$883.89 / $898.25Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$964.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 2.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-287.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $944.91, invalidation $931.84

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 19.2 / 53.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$868.74Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$922.92 / $927.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

24.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.262Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 2.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-287.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$7.18 (0.81%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.21%

-21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$946.79 / $909.74Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$883.89 / $898.25Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.96%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.75xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$964.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

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