US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish90%
1h Downside probability 90%Bearish

CAT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $702.79 and stabilize above resistance $744.36.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $744.36 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.6, MACD -1.094

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $5.46 (0.79%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$693.7Bearish
EMA 21$702.79Bearish
EMA 50$714.34Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.6 · MACD -1.094

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.46 · BB 4.66%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 58.0 · OBV -1.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$681.5 - $744.36

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.93% · 11.3 ATR above latest close

$749.82
Nearest resistance

+8.14% · 10.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$744.36
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$688.35
Nearest support

-1% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$681.5
Deeper support zone

-1.79% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$676.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$682.89 - $693.81

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $681.5, invalidation $714.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 23.3 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$671.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$702.93 / $713.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.46 (0.79%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.66%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$714.4 / $690.01Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$682.89 / $693.81Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$744.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.9 / 18.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $681.5, invalidation $714.24

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.2 / 23.3 / 38.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$671.7Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$702.93 / $713.25Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.094Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.9 / 18.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.1Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-143.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.46 (0.79%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.66%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$714.4 / $690.01Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$682.89 / $693.81Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

58.0Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.01xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$744.36Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

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