US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish87%
1h Downside probability 87%Bearish

CAT 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $924.65 and stabilize above resistance $964.63.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $964.63 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.4, MACD -3.688

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $8.61 (0.95%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$913.27Bearish
EMA 21$924.65Bearish
EMA 50$933.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.4 · MACD -3.688

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.61 · BB 6.31%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 27.9 · OBV 0.36%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$891.07 - $964.63

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.03% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$973.24
Nearest resistance

+6.09% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$964.63
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$909.29
Nearest support

-2% · 2.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$891.07
Deeper support zone

-2.95% · 3.1 ATR below latest close

$882.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$900.68 - $917.9

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $944.91, invalidation $891.07

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 22.9 / 44.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$879.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$922.56 / $927.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.61 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.31%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$945.14 / $903.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$900.68 / $917.9Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$964.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.688Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.8 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.36%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $944.91, invalidation $891.07

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

22.2 / 22.9 / 44.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$879.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$922.56 / $927.85Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

34%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.688Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.8 / 17.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.2Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.61 (0.95%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.31%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$945.14 / $903.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$900.68 / $917.9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.36%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.29xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$964.63Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

Related Forecasts