US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish63%
Weekly Downside probability 63%Bearish

CAT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $847.92 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.4, MACD -22.516

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $81.98 (9.9%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$865.22Bearish
EMA 21$847.92Bearish
EMA 50$736.49Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.4 · MACD -22.516

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $81.98 · BB 25.94%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 44.3 · OBV 10.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$572.05 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+39.56% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$1,155.4
Nearest resistance

+29.66% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$827.9
Nearest support

-30.9% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$572.05
Deeper support zone

-40.81% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$490.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$745.92 - $909.88

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776, invalidation $935

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.4 / 18.7 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$570.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$896.44 / $741.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.98 (9.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.94%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,026.8 / $675.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$745.92 / $909.88Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$572.05Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-22.516Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 22.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776, invalidation $935

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

34.4 / 18.7 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$570.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$896.44 / $741.99Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-22.516Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 22.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$81.98 (9.9%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.94%

26%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,026.8 / $675.93Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$745.92 / $909.88Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.17%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.00xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$572.05Range

Related Forecasts