US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

CAT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $757.24 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.7, MACD -35.185

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $60.71 (10.03%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$680.97Bearish
EMA 21$757.24Bearish
EMA 50$734.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.7 · MACD -35.185

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $60.71 · BB 52.44%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 22.1 · OBV -11.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$550.81 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+87.38% · 8.7 ATR above latest close

$1,134.2
Nearest resistance

+77.35% · 7.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$605.28
Nearest support

-9% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$550.81
Deeper support zone

-19.03% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$490.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$544.57 - $665.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $771.39, invalidation $876.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 8.2 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$389.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$763.01 / $805.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$60.71 (10.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.44%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$888.26 / $621.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$544.57 / $665.99Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$550.81Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-35.185Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 6.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-186.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $771.39, invalidation $876.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 8.2 / 38.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$389.84Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$763.01 / $805.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-35.185Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.7 / 6.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-186.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$60.71 (10.03%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.44%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$888.26 / $621.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$544.57 / $665.99Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

22.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-11.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.98xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$550.81Range

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