US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish57%
Weekly Downside probability 57%Bearish

CAT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $835.79 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 53.6, MACD -16.357

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $68.37 (8.09%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$832.56Bullish
EMA 21$835.79Bullish
EMA 50$754.09Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.6 · MACD -16.357

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $68.37 · BB 27.31%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 25.0 · OBV 8.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$662.85 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+35.06% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$1,141.8
Nearest resistance

+26.97% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$845.42
Nearest support

-21.6% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$662.85
Deeper support zone

-29.68% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$594.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$777.05 - $913.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $771.39, invalidation $935

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.5 / 9.8 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$651.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$871.03 / $778.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$68.37 (8.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.31%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$956.38 / $718.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$777.05 / $913.79Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$662.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.357Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.5 / 17.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $771.39, invalidation $935

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.5 / 9.8 / 33.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$651.98Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$871.03 / $778.5Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

25%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-16.357Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

24.5 / 17.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-52.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$68.37 (8.09%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.31%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$956.38 / $718.14Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$777.05 / $913.79Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

25.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

8.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.78xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$662.85Range

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