US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

CAT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $838.86 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.4, MACD -23.273

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $76.85 (9.39%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$837.26Bearish
EMA 21$838.86Bearish
EMA 50$744.94Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.4 · MACD -23.273

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $76.85 · BB 25.25%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 37.7 · OBV 5.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$619.26 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+40.53% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$1,150.3
Nearest resistance

+31.14% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$818.57
Nearest support

-24.35% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$619.26
Deeper support zone

-33.74% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$542.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$741.72 - $895.42

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776, invalidation $935

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.2 / 15.6 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$603.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$868.51 / $752.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$76.85 (9.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.25%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$980.37 / $701.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$741.72 / $895.42Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$619.26Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-23.273Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 12.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $776, invalidation $935

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

33.2 / 15.6 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$603.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$868.51 / $752.04Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.4Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-23.273Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.6 / 12.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-84.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-109.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$76.85 (9.39%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 25.25%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$980.37 / $701.66Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$741.72 / $895.42Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.18%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.54xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$619.26Range

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