US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

CAT 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $811.05 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.6, MACD -24.384

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $62.88 (9.13%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$778.6Bearish
EMA 21$811.05Bearish
EMA 50$752.31Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.6 · MACD -24.384

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $62.88 · BB 36.57%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 26.7 · OBV -0.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$662.85 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.08% · 7.1 ATR above latest close

$1,136.3
Nearest resistance

+55.95% · 6.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$688.35
Nearest support

-3.7% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$662.85
Deeper support zone

-12.84% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$599.97
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$625.47 - $751.23

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $771.39, invalidation $876.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 12.8 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$544.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$828.35 / $797.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$62.88 (9.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.57%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$923.85 / $698.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$625.47 / $751.23Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$662.85Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-24.384Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.7 / 8.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-164.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $771.39, invalidation $876.95

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.9 / 12.8 / 33.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$544.03Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$828.35 / $797.44Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

2%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-24.384Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

2.7 / 8.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-97.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-164.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$62.88 (9.13%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 36.57%

-3%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$923.85 / $698.22Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$625.47 / $751.23Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

26.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-0.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$662.85Range

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