US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CAT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $951.9 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 39.2, MACD -4.247

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $27.39 (3.01%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$934.2Bearish
EMA 21$951.9Bearish
EMA 50$952.29Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 39.2 · MACD -4.247

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $27.39 · BB 12.41%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.6 · OBV -1364.99%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$891.07 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.07% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$1,100.9
Nearest resistance

+18.05% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$909.29
Nearest support

-2% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$891.07
Deeper support zone

-5.02% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$863.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$881.9 - $936.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $911, invalidation $964.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 16.8 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$837.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$959.69 / $962.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.39 (3.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.41%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,003.4 / $898.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$881.9 / $936.68Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.247Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.8 / 27.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1364.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $911, invalidation $964.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 16.8 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$837.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$959.69 / $962.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

39.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.247Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

19.8 / 27.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-122.5Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.39 (3.01%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.41%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,003.4 / $898.62Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$881.9 / $936.68Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1364.99%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

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