US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish81%
12h Downside probability 81%Bearish

CAT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $740.78 and stabilize above resistance $874.45.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $874.45 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 26.0, MACD -2.580

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $18.2 (2.64%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$713.69Bearish
EMA 21$740.78Bearish
EMA 50$773.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 26.0 · MACD -2.580

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.2 · BB 16.61%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 28.1 · OBV -53.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$681.5 - $874.45

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+29.68% · 11.2 ATR above latest close

$892.65
Nearest resistance

+27.04% · 10.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$874.45
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$688.35
Nearest support

-1% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$681.5
Deeper support zone

-3.64% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$663.3
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$670.15 - $706.55

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $745, invalidation $709.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.6 / 11.7 / 44.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$637.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$742.5 / $777.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.2 (2.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.61%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$775.74 / $702.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$670.15 / $706.55Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$874.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.580Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.1 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-138.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-53.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $745, invalidation $709.4

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

70.6 / 11.7 / 44.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$637.57Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$742.5 / $777.98Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.580Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.1 / 8.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-89.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-138.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.2 (2.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.61%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$775.74 / $702.27Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$670.15 / $706.55Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

28.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-53.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.10xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$874.45Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$681.5Range

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