US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CAT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $841.95 and stabilize above resistance $938.53.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $938.53 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.0, MACD -3.458

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $18.46 (2.24%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$829.15Bearish
EMA 21$841.95Bearish
EMA 50$860.62Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.0 · MACD -3.458

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.46 · BB 9.12%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 36.8 · OBV -5.46%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$781.58 - $938.53

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.24% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$956.99
Nearest resistance

+14% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$938.53
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$823.3
Nearest support

-5.07% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$781.58
Deeper support zone

-7.31% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$763.12
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$804.84 - $841.76

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $887, invalidation $801.49

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 18.9 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$756.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$848.82 / $857.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.46 (2.24%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.12%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$884.73 / $797.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$804.84 / $841.76Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$938.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$781.58Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.458Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $887, invalidation $801.49

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.3 / 18.9 / 27.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$756.91Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$848.82 / $857.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.458Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.5 / 21.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-74.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-106.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$18.46 (2.24%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.12%

22%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$884.73 / $797.81Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$804.84 / $841.76Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.46%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.85xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$938.53Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$781.58Range

Related Forecasts