US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish75%
12h Downside probability 75%Bearish

CAT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $609.77 and stabilize above resistance $745.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $745 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 45.7, MACD 8.139

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $21.25 (3.5%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$596.04Bullish
EMA 21$609.77Bearish
EMA 50$662.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 45.7 · MACD 8.139

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.25 · BB 16.06%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 21.0 · OBV -31.58%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$545.21 - $745

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+26.19% · 7.5 ATR above latest close

$766.25
Nearest resistance

+22.69% · 6.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$745
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$607.2
Nearest support

-10.21% · 2.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$545.21
Deeper support zone

-13.71% · 3.9 ATR below latest close

$523.96
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$585.95 - $628.45

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $635.02, invalidation $552

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 19.8 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$548.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$611.92 / $683.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

67%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$21.25 (3.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.06%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$643.55 / $572.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$585.95 / $628.45Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$745Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$545.21Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

8.139Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.7 / 66.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

28.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $635.02, invalidation $552

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

51.7 / 19.8 / 36.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$548.29Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$611.92 / $683.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

67%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

45.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

8.139Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

83.7 / 66.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-16.3Bearish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

28.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$21.25 (3.5%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 16.06%

62%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$643.55 / $572.37Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$585.95 / $628.45Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

21.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-31.58%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.22xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$745Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$545.21Range

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