US stock / ETF

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

CAT 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $950.24 and stabilize above resistance $1,073.5.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $1,073.5 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.3, MACD -5.410

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $27.39 (3.07%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$930.15Bearish
EMA 21$950.24Bearish
EMA 50$951.58Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.3 · MACD -5.410

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $27.39 · BB 13.10%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.3 · OBV -1338.06%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$891.07 - $1,073.5

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.54% · 7.7 ATR above latest close

$1,100.9
Nearest resistance

+20.47% · 6.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$1,073.5
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$891.07
Nearest support

+0% · 0.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$891.07
Deeper support zone

-3.07% · 1.0 ATR below latest close

$863.68
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$863.68 - $918.46

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $911, invalidation $964.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 16.8 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$837.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$959.69 / $962.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.39 (3.07%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.10%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,001.7 / $896.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$863.68 / $918.46Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.410Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1338.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $911, invalidation $964.63

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

29.9 / 16.8 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$837.92Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$959.69 / $962.75Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

0%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-5.410Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

0.0 / 21.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-100.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-137.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.39 (3.07%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.10%

-0%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$1,001.7 / $896.89Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$863.68 / $918.46Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1338.06%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$1,073.5Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$891.07Range

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