US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish85%
4h Downside probability 85%Bearish

STZ 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $133.61 and stabilize above resistance $138.59.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $138.59 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.1, MACD -0.465

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.18 (0.89%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$132.54Bearish
EMA 21$133.61Bearish
EMA 50$133.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.1 · MACD -0.465

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.18 · BB 6.03%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 15.4 · OBV -2.08%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$129.76 - $138.59

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+6.1% · 6.8 ATR above latest close

$139.77
Nearest resistance

+5.21% · 5.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$138.59
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$131.73
Nearest support

-1.5% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$129.76
Deeper support zone

-2.39% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$128.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$130.55 - $132.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.55, invalidation $134.08

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 7.5 / 46.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$128.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$134.09 / $134.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.18 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.03%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.73 / $131.41Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$130.55 / $132.91Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$129.76Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 6.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.55, invalidation $134.08

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.2 / 7.5 / 46.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$128.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$134.09 / $134.47Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.465Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.1 / 6.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.9Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-119.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.18 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.03%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$135.73 / $131.41Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$130.55 / $132.91Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

15.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.08%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.04xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$138.59Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$129.76Range

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