US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

3 monthsBearish68%
3M Downside probability 68%Bearish

STZ 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $204.58 and stabilize above resistance $274.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 40.3, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $34.37 (23.5%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$169.75Bearish
EMA 21$204.58Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD --

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $34.37 · BB 80.92%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 24.6 · OBV -202.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$126.51 - $274.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+111.42% · 4.7 ATR above latest close

$309.23
Nearest resistance

+87.93% · 3.7 ATR above · 24-bar high

$274.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.26
Nearest support

-13.5% · 0.6 ATR below · 24-bar low

$126.51
Deeper support zone

-37% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$92.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$111.89 - $180.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $274.86, invalidation $126.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.37 (23.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.92%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$274.51 / $126.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.89 / $180.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 12.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-202.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $274.86, invalidation $126.51

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$40.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

13.3 / 12.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-86.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$34.37 (23.5%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 80.92%

11%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$274.51 / $126.33Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$111.89 / $180.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

24.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-202.24%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.35xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.51Range

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