US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $145.01 and stabilize above resistance $168.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.5, MACD -1.710

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.38 (7.06%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$139.8Bearish
EMA 21$145.01Bearish
EMA 50$153.19Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.5 · MACD -1.710

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.38 · BB 22.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.5 · OBV -39.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$128.88 - $168.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+33.95% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$177.98
Nearest resistance

+26.89% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$132.87
Nearest support

-3% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$128.88
Deeper support zone

-10.06% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$119.5
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$123.49 - $142.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.11, invalidation $150.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 12.9 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$144.59 / $152.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.38 (7.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.68%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$165.07 / $124.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.49 / $142.25Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.88Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.710Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.0 / 10.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $135.11, invalidation $150.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.9 / 12.9 / 32.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$103.77Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$144.59 / $152.29Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

10%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.710Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

10.0 / 10.7Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-142.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.38 (7.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.68%

7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$165.07 / $124.48Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$123.49 / $142.25Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-39.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.89xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.88Range

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