US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $140.21 and stabilize above resistance $168.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.6, MACD -0.543

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.95 (6.79%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$135.4Bearish
EMA 21$140.21Bearish
EMA 50$149.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.6 · MACD -0.543

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.95 · BB 24.68%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.7 · OBV -37.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$128.4 - $168.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+34.78% · 5.1 ATR above latest close

$177.55
Nearest resistance

+27.99% · 4.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$131.73
Nearest support

-2.53% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$128.4
Deeper support zone

-9.32% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$119.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$122.78 - $140.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $139.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 13.6 / 19.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.88 / $147.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.95 (6.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.68%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.74 / $124.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.78 / $140.68Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.543Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $139.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.7 / 13.6 / 19.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$110.34Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$142.88 / $147.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.543Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

14.7 / 30.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-77.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.95 (6.79%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.68%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.74 / $124.06Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.78 / $140.68Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-37.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.4Range

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