US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish68%
Weekly Downside probability 68%Bearish

STZ 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $148.44 and stabilize above resistance $168.44.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.44 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.0, MACD -0.875

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.14 (6.25%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$145.84Bullish
EMA 21$148.44Bearish
EMA 50$155.54Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.0 · MACD -0.875

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.14 · BB 18.21%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 49.0 · OBV 5.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$126.51 - $168.44

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.42% · 3.4 ATR above latest close

$177.58
Nearest resistance

+15.16% · 2.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.44
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.26
Nearest support

-13.5% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$126.51
Deeper support zone

-19.76% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$117.37
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$137.12 - $155.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $168.44, invalidation $135.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 23.4 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.11 / $152.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.14 (6.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.21%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.88 / $129.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.12 / $155.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.875Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 30.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $168.44, invalidation $135.17

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.9 / 23.4 / 25.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.33Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$149.11 / $152.24Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

33%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.0Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.875Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

33.3 / 30.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-66.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-74.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.14 (6.25%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 18.21%

35%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$166.88 / $129.75Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$137.12 / $155.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

49.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.61%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.94xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.44Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.51Range

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