US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish90%
Weekly Downside probability 90%Bearish

STZ 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $136.19 and stabilize above resistance $168.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.4, MACD -1.256

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.98 (6.49%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$129.31Bearish
EMA 21$136.19Bearish
EMA 50$146.24Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.4 · MACD -1.256

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.98 · BB 22.83%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.2 · OBV -20.18%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$120.25 - $168.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+43.66% · 6.7 ATR above latest close

$176.58
Nearest resistance

+37.17% · 5.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$122.92
Nearest support

-2.17% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$120.25
Deeper support zone

-8.66% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$112.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$114.94 - $130.89

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $139.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 8.6 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$137.09 / $144.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.98 (6.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.83%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$149.98 / $121.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.94 / $130.89Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.256Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 6.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $139.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.0 / 8.6 / 22.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$102.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$137.09 / $144.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.256Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.7 / 6.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.3Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-144.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.98 (6.49%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 22.83%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$149.98 / $121.61Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$114.94 / $130.89Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-20.18%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.25Range

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