US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $131.16 and stabilize above resistance $168.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.8, MACD -1.381

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $7.49 (6.06%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$122.68Bullish
EMA 21$131.16Bearish
EMA 50$142.78Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.8 · MACD -1.381

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.49 · BB 29.19%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.9 · OBV -18.34%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$111.18 - $168.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+42.44% · 7.0 ATR above latest close

$176.09
Nearest resistance

+36.37% · 6.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$123.63
Nearest support

-10.07% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.18
Deeper support zone

-16.13% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$103.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$116.14 - $131.12

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $139.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.2 / 17.2 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.56 / $139.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.49 (6.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.19%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.73 / $115.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.14 / $131.12Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.381Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.3 / 16.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $139.26

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

30.2 / 17.2 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$94.96Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$132.56 / $139.89Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

31%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.381Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.3 / 16.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-116.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$7.49 (6.06%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.19%

28%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$145.73 / $115.57Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$116.14 / $131.12Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-18.34%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.20xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.18Range

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