US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish92%
Weekly Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $141.84 and stabilize above resistance $168.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $168.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD -1.385

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $9.09 (6.69%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$135.95Bearish
EMA 21$141.84Bearish
EMA 50$150.8Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD -1.385

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $9.09 · BB 27.45%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 43.3 · OBV -35.22%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$128.4 - $168.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+30.88% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$177.69
Nearest resistance

+24.19% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$168.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$135.76
Nearest support

-5.42% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$128.4
Deeper support zone

-12.11% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$119.31
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$126.67 - $144.85

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $150.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 14.9 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$144.1 / $148.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.09 (6.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.45%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$158.84 / $124.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.67 / $144.85Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.4Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.385Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 13.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $128.4, invalidation $150.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.9 / 14.9 / 25.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$107.26Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$144.1 / $148.97Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.385Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.7 / 13.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-70.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-90.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$9.09 (6.69%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 27.45%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$158.84 / $124.21Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$126.67 / $144.85Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

43.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-35.22%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.75xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$168.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$128.4Range

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