US stock / ETF

Dollar Tree Inc.

DLTR · NASDAQ · USD

1 dayBearish92%
Daily Downside probability 92%Bearish

DLTR 1D chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Daily: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $122.86 and stabilize above resistance $136.17.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $136.17 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Daily
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 29.9, MACD -2.026

Daily
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $4.38 (3.87%)

Daily

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$117.51Bearish
EMA 21$122.86Bearish
EMA 50$123.51Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 29.9 · MACD -2.026

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.38 · BB 23.53%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.2 · OBV -17.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$111.43 - $136.17

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+24.09% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$140.54
Nearest resistance

+20.22% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$136.17
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$113.26
Nearest support

-1.62% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.43
Deeper support zone

-5.48% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$107.05
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$108.88 - $117.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.11, invalidation $134.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 8.9 / 35.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$101.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.02 / $123.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.38 (3.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.53%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.81 / $114.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.88 / $117.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 5.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $118.11, invalidation $134.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.3 / 8.9 / 35.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$101.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.02 / $123.8Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

7%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

29.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.026Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

7.8 / 5.0Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-129.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$4.38 (3.87%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.53%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$130.81 / $114.5Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$108.88 / $117.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-17.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.07xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$136.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.43Range

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