US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $123.24 and stabilize above resistance $125.74.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $125.74 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 46.3, MACD -0.019

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $0.5912 (0.48%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$123.03Bearish
EMA 21$123.24Bearish
EMA 50$123.56Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.3 · MACD -0.019

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $0.5912 · BB 1.52%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 30.9 · OBV 0.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$121.94 - $125.74

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.78% · 5.8 ATR above latest close

$126.33
Nearest resistance

+2.3% · 4.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$125.74
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$122.92
Nearest support

-0.8% · 1.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$121.94
Deeper support zone

-1.28% · 2.7 ATR below latest close

$121.35
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$122.32 - $123.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.94, invalidation $123.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

7.5 / 38.1 / 34.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.1 / $123.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5912 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.52%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.4 / $122.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.32 / $123.51Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.94Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.019Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.4 / 52.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $121.94, invalidation $123.94

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

7.5 / 38.1 / 34.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$121.37Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$123.1 / $123.84Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.3Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.019Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

46.4 / 52.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-53.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-44.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$0.5912 (0.48%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.52%

31%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$124.4 / $122.06Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$122.32 / $123.51Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

30.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.89%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.09xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$125.74Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$121.94Range

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