US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

STZ 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $165.04 and stabilize above resistance $274.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 33.8, MACD 0.206

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.11 (14.38%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$144.63Bearish
EMA 21$165.04Bearish
EMA 50$189.28Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 33.8 · MACD 0.206

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.11 · BB 57.04%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.5 · OBV -77.19%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$126.45 - $274.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+121.25% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$293.98
Nearest resistance

+106.87% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$274.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$132.87
Nearest support

-4.83% · 0.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$126.45
Deeper support zone

-19.21% · 1.3 ATR below latest close

$107.34
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.76 - $151.98

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.4 / 15.0 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$171.8 / $200.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.11 (14.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.04%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$200.18 / $126.86Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.76 / $151.98Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.45Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.206Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 15.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

44.4 / 15.0 / 28.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$81.45Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$171.8 / $200.66Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

33.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.206Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

12.3 / 15.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-87.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-93.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.11 (14.38%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 57.04%

21%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$200.18 / $126.86Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.76 / $151.98Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-77.19%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.52xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.45Range

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