US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $158.13 and stabilize above resistance $274.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.2, MACD -0.216

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.22 (14.83%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$136.96Bearish
EMA 21$158.13Bearish
EMA 50$184.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.2 · MACD -0.216

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.22 · BB 50.36%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.4 · OBV 98.24%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$120.25 - $274.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+138.45% · 9.3 ATR above latest close

$293.09
Nearest resistance

+123.63% · 8.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$274.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$122.92
Nearest support

-2.17% · 0.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$120.25
Deeper support zone

-16.99% · 1.1 ATR below latest close

$102.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$104.69 - $141.14

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.8 / 15.7 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.54 / $197.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.22 (14.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.36%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.57 / $121.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.69 / $141.14Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.216Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.9 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

98.24%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

39.8 / 15.7 / 27.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$74.09Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$167.54 / $197.56Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

3%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.216Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

4.9 / 6.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-95.1Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-120.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.22 (14.83%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.36%

12%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$191.57 / $121.59Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$104.69 / $141.14Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

98.24%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$120.25Range

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