US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish91%
Monthly Downside probability 91%Bearish

STZ 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $154.74 and stabilize above resistance $274.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.3, MACD -0.093

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.6 (15.1%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$133.67Bearish
EMA 21$154.74Bearish
EMA 50$181.85Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.3 · MACD -0.093

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.6 · BB 52.86%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 40.1 · OBV 186.93%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$111.18 - $274.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+126.87% · 8.4 ATR above latest close

$294.47
Nearest resistance

+111.76% · 7.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$274.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$129.8
Nearest support

-14.35% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.18
Deeper support zone

-29.45% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$91.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$110.2 - $149.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.5 / 17.2 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$163.01 / $193.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.6 (15.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.86%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.16 / $114.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.2 / $149.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

186.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.5 / 17.2 / 26.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$67.07Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$163.01 / $193.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.093Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.4 / 14.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-99.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.6 (15.1%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 52.86%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.16 / $114.19Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$110.2 / $149.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

186.93%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.18Range

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