US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $168.9 and stabilize above resistance $274.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.8, MACD 0.800

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.03 (13.01%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$149.58Bearish
EMA 21$168.9Bearish
EMA 50$193.36Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.8 · MACD 0.800

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $19.03 · BB 67.02%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 45.9 · OBV -111.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$126.51 - $274.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+100.94% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$293.89
Nearest resistance

+87.93% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$274.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$146.26
Nearest support

-13.5% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$126.51
Deeper support zone

-26.51% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$107.48
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$127.23 - $165.29

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.51, invalidation $168.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.6 / 17.0 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$171.78 / $200.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.03 (13.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.02%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.53 / $128.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$127.23 / $165.29Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.51Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.800Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.5 / 29.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-111.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.51, invalidation $168.44

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.6 / 17.0 / 26.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$84.23Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$171.78 / $200.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

17%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.800Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

28.5 / 29.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-71.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.03 (13.01%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 67.02%

33%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$206.53 / $128.3Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$127.23 / $165.29Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-111.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.99xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$126.51Range

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