US stock / ETF

Constellation Brands, Inc.

STZ · NYSE · USD

1 monthBearish92%
Monthly Downside probability 92%Bearish

STZ 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $154.18 and stabilize above resistance $274.87.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $274.87 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.4, MACD -0.487

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $18.46 (14.94%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$132.3Bearish
EMA 21$154.18Bearish
EMA 50$181.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.4 · MACD -0.487

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $18.46 · BB 53.90%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.1 · OBV 115.13%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$111.18 - $274.87

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+137.27% · 9.2 ATR above latest close

$293.33
Nearest resistance

+122.33% · 8.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$274.87
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$123.63
Nearest support

-10.07% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$111.18
Deeper support zone

-25.01% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$92.72
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$105.17 - $142.09

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.1 / 15.5 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$63.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$163.01 / $193.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.46 (14.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.90%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.39 / $116.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.17 / $142.09Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.487Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.7 / 10.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

115.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $126.45, invalidation $168.6

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

38.1 / 15.5 / 27.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$63.88Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$163.01 / $193.03Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.487Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

21.7 / 10.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-78.3Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.0Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$18.46 (14.94%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 53.90%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$188.39 / $116.79Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$105.17 / $142.09Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

115.13%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$274.87Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$111.18Range

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