US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish62%
4h Downside probability 62%Bearish

RL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $393.37 and stabilize above resistance $419.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $419 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.1, MACD -0.550

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.55 (1.16%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$392.75Bearish
EMA 21$393.37Bearish
EMA 50$390.97Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD -0.550

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.55 · BB 8.19%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 54.2 · OBV 3.38%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$372.27 - $419

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.38% · 7.2 ATR above latest close

$423.55
Nearest resistance

+7.22% · 6.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$419
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$390.8
Nearest support

-4.74% · 4.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$372.27
Deeper support zone

-5.91% · 5.1 ATR below latest close

$367.71
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$386.25 - $395.35

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $389.44, invalidation $397.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 41.4 / 13.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$379.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$395.6 / $394.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.55 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.19%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$401.15 / $385.59Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$386.25 / $395.35Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$419Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$372.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.550Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.3 / 49.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-1.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $389.44, invalidation $397.71

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

27.2 / 41.4 / 13.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$379.11Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$395.6 / $394.78Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.550Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.3 / 49.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-59.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-1.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.55 (1.16%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.19%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$401.15 / $385.59Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$386.25 / $395.35Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.2Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.38%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.96xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$419Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$372.27Range

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