US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish66%
4h Downside probability 66%Bearish

RL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $342.09 and stabilize above resistance $358.01.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $358.01 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 42.9, MACD 0.192

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.25 (1.55%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$338.91Bullish
EMA 21$342.09Bearish
EMA 50$350.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.9 · MACD 0.192

Momentum is weak

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $5.25 · BB 6.45%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 54.4 · OBV 1.62%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$331.35 - $358.01

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+7.13% · 4.6 ATR above latest close

$363.26
Nearest resistance

+5.58% · 3.6 ATR above · 34-bar high

$358.01
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$339.09
Nearest support

-2.28% · 1.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$331.35
Deeper support zone

-3.83% · 2.5 ATR below latest close

$326.1
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$333.84 - $344.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $344.11, invalidation $332.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 30.3 / 23.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$323.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$341.99 / $355.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.25 (1.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.45%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$352.33 / $331.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$333.84 / $344.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$358.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.192Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 27.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $344.11, invalidation $332.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

14.7 / 30.3 / 23.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$323.31Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$341.99 / $355.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.192Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

29.0 / 27.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-71.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-48.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.25 (1.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.45%

34%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$352.33 / $331.31Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$333.84 / $344.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

54.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.62%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.17xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$358.01Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

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