US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish64%
4h Downside probability 64%Bearish

RL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $379.29 and stabilize above resistance $393.93.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $393.93 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.8, MACD -0.900

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.33 (1.15%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$379.1Bearish
EMA 21$379.29Bearish
EMA 50$374.49Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.8 · MACD -0.900

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.33 · BB 3.48%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 45.9 · OBV 1.80%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$362.79 - $393.93

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.53% · 4.8 ATR above latest close

$398.26
Nearest resistance

+4.38% · 3.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$393.93
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$377.4
Nearest support

-3.87% · 3.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$362.79
Deeper support zone

-5.02% · 4.4 ATR below latest close

$358.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$373.07 - $381.73

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $383.99, invalidation $370.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 6.9 / 44.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$365.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$379.9 / $375.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.33 (1.15%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.48%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$387.54 / $371.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$373.07 / $381.73Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$393.93Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$362.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.900Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.5 / 47.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $383.99, invalidation $370.97

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

52.2 / 6.9 / 44.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$365.15Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$379.9 / $375.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

29%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.900Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

50.5 / 47.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-49.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-79.9Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.33 (1.15%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.48%

23%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$387.54 / $371.21Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$373.07 / $381.73Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

45.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

1.80%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.15xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$393.93Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$362.79Range

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