US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $385.05 and stabilize above resistance $407.55.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $407.55 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 30.9, MACD -1.901

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $5.68 (1.54%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$376.86Bearish
EMA 21$385.05Bearish
EMA 50$391.45Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 30.9 · MACD -1.901

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $5.68 · BB 9.55%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 40.4 · OBV -8.02%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$364 - $407.55

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.99% · 7.8 ATR above latest close

$413.23
Nearest resistance

+10.46% · 6.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$407.55
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$368.97
Nearest support

-1.35% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$364
Deeper support zone

-2.89% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$358.32
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$363.29 - $374.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $380.36, invalidation $382.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 30.5 / 36.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$351.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$384.15 / $392Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.68 (1.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.55%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$396.53 / $372.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.29 / $374.65Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$407.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$364Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.901Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 5.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-155.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $380.36, invalidation $382.12

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.6 / 30.5 / 36.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$351.06Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$384.15 / $392Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

30.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.901Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.2 / 5.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-155.7Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$5.68 (1.54%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.55%

5%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$396.53 / $372.66Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.29 / $374.65Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

40.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-8.02%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.12xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$407.55Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$364Range

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