US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBullish73%
4h Upside probability 73%Bullish

RL 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $355.56 and reclaim $421.51.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $355.56 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 60.3, MACD -1.058

4h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $8.42 (2.04%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$410.62Bullish
EMA 21$403.06Bullish
EMA 50$387.78Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 60.3 · MACD -1.058

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $8.42 · BB 11.22%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 32.3 · OBV -96.04%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$355.56 - $421.51

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.04% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$429.93
Nearest resistance

+2.01% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.51
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$413.22
Nearest support

-13.95% · 6.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$355.56
Deeper support zone

-15.99% · 7.8 ATR below latest close

$347.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$404.8 - $421.64

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.68, invalidation $419.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 27.4 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$388.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.09 / $369.56Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.42 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.22%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.28 / $387.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$404.8 / $421.64Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355.56Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.7 / 59.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

58.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-96.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $398.68, invalidation $419.78

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

28.0 / 27.4 / 22.8Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$388.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$401.09 / $369.56Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

82%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

60.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.058Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

63.7 / 59.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-36.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

58.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$8.42 (2.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.22%

68%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.28 / $387.17Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$404.8 / $421.64Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-96.04%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.85xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.51Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$355.56Range

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