US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish73%
12h Downside probability 73%Bearish

RL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $392.13 and stabilize above resistance $421.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $421.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 36.8, MACD -4.383

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $13.08 (3.55%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$385.4Bearish
EMA 21$392.13Bearish
EMA 50$386.22Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 36.8 · MACD -4.383

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.08 · BB 12.69%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.9 · OBV -1.55%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$360.65 - $421.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+17.81% · 5.0 ATR above latest close

$434.68
Nearest resistance

+14.26% · 4.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$368.97
Nearest support

-2.25% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$360.65
Deeper support zone

-5.8% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$347.57
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$355.89 - $382.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $399, invalidation $380.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

68.5 / 4.9 / 49.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$339.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$389.04 / $369.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.08 (3.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.69%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$415.5 / $368.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$355.89 / $382.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$360.65Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.383Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.8 / 29.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-181.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $399, invalidation $380.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

68.5 / 4.9 / 49.0Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$339.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$389.04 / $369.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

9%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

36.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.383Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

9.8 / 29.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-90.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-181.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.08 (3.55%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.69%

-9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$415.5 / $368.61Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$355.89 / $382.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.55%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.71xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$360.65Range

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