US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish92%
12h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $352.11 and stabilize above resistance $410.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $410 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.8, MACD -0.106

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.96 (2.64%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$342.16Bearish
EMA 21$352.11Bearish
EMA 50$365.6Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.8 · MACD -0.106

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.96 · BB 13.75%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 29.9 · OBV -16.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$331.35 - $410

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+23.56% · 8.9 ATR above latest close

$418.96
Nearest resistance

+20.91% · 7.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$410
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$339.09
Nearest support

-2.28% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$331.35
Deeper support zone

-4.93% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$322.39
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$330.13 - $348.05

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $335.25, invalidation $358.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.3 / 15.2 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$310.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$352.68 / $371.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.96 (2.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.75%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$370.12 / $332.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$330.13 / $348.05Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$410Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.106Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 13.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $335.25, invalidation $358.01

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.3 / 15.2 / 35.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$310.4Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$352.68 / $371.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.106Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

25.0 / 13.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-75.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-84.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.96 (2.64%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.75%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$370.12 / $332.65Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$330.13 / $348.05Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

29.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-16.86%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.45xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$410Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

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