US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish83%
12h Downside probability 83%Bearish

RL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $384.85 and stabilize above resistance $411.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $411.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 37.8, MACD -2.477

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $8.66 (2.32%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$379.81Bearish
EMA 21$384.85Bearish
EMA 50$385.57Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 37.8 · MACD -2.477

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.66 · BB 10.40%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.6 · OBV 3.48%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$361.44 - $411.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.68% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$419.85
Nearest resistance

+10.36% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$411.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$372.59
Nearest support

-2.99% · 1.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$361.44
Deeper support zone

-5.32% · 2.3 ATR below latest close

$352.78
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$363.93 - $381.25

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $361.44, invalidation $410

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.4 / 4.9 / 46.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$353.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$384.12 / $386.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.66 (2.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.40%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$399.74 / $369.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.93 / $381.25Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$411.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$361.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.477Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.0 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $361.44, invalidation $410

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

41.4 / 4.9 / 46.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$353.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$384.12 / $386.32Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

22%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

37.8Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.477Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

15.0 / 13.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-85.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-114.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 10Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$8.66 (2.32%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 10.40%

9%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$399.74 / $369.64Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$363.93 / $381.25Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

3.48%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.32xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$411.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$361.44Range

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