US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish60%
12h Downside probability 60%Bearish

RL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $390.51 and stabilize above resistance $421.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $421.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.4, MACD -4.286

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $13.97 (3.73%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$382.93Bearish
EMA 21$390.51Bearish
EMA 50$385.75Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.4 · MACD -4.286

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $13.97 · BB 13.49%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 33.2 · OBV 10.11%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$364 - $421.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+16.38% · 4.4 ATR above latest close

$435.57
Nearest resistance

+12.65% · 3.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$374.27
Nearest support

-2.74% · 0.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$364
Deeper support zone

-6.48% · 1.7 ATR below latest close

$350.03
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$360.3 - $388.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $399, invalidation $380.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.1 / 4.6 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$337.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$388.35 / $369.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.97 (3.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.49%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$414.9 / $365.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.3 / $388.24Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$364Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.3 / 17.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $399, invalidation $380.36

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

73.1 / 4.6 / 45.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$337.53Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$388.35 / $369.42Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.4Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.286Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.3 / 17.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-79.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-150.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$13.97 (3.73%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.49%

8%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$414.9 / $365.82Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$360.3 / $388.24Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.11%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.23xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$364Range

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