US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

12 hoursBearish57%
12h Downside probability 57%Bearish

RL 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $391.42 and stabilize above resistance $419.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $419 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.9, MACD -1.524

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $10.54 (2.7%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$393.63Bearish
EMA 21$391.42Bearish
EMA 50$382.28Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.9 · MACD -1.524

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $10.54 · BB 8.79%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 42.4 · OBV 10.81%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$362.79 - $419

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.91% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$429.54
Nearest resistance

+7.22% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$419
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$390.8
Nearest support

-7.17% · 2.7 ATR below · 34-bar low

$362.79
Deeper support zone

-9.86% · 3.7 ATR below latest close

$352.25
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$380.26 - $401.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.6, invalidation $372.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 32.6 / 31.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$355.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$395.21 / $382.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.54 (2.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.79%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$417.13 / $366.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$380.26 / $401.34Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$419Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$362.79Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.524Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.7 / 44.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $402.6, invalidation $372.27

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.9 / 32.6 / 31.7Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$355.48Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$395.21 / $382.11Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

42%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.524Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.7 / 44.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.3Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-16.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$10.54 (2.7%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.79%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$417.13 / $366.34Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$380.26 / $401.34Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.4Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

10.81%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.95xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$419Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$362.79Range

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