US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $377.62 and stabilize above resistance $399.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $399 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 31.7, MACD -0.985

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.54 (0.96%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$371.29Bearish
EMA 21$377.62Bearish
EMA 50$384.64Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 31.7 · MACD -0.985

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.54 · BB 11.31%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 20.2 · OBV -15.87%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$367 - $399

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+9.1% · 9.5 ATR above latest close

$402.54
Nearest resistance

+8.14% · 8.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$399
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$368.97
Nearest support

-0.53% · 0.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$367
Deeper support zone

-1.49% · 1.6 ATR below latest close

$363.46
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$365.43 - $372.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $367, invalidation $371.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.8 / 17.5 / 48.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$359.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$378.78 / $383.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.54 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.31%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$383.65 / $370.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$365.43 / $372.51Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$399Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$367Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.985Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.8 / 9.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.70xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $367, invalidation $371.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

48.8 / 17.5 / 48.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$359.36Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$378.78 / $383.16Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

6%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

31.7Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.985Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.8 / 9.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-83.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 7Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.54 (0.96%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 11.31%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$383.65 / $370.84Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$365.43 / $372.51Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

20.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-15.87%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.70xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$399Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$367Range

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