US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish78%
1h Downside probability 78%Bearish

RL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $378.27 and stabilize above resistance $383.99.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $383.99 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.6, MACD -0.088

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.28 (0.87%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$377.37Bullish
EMA 21$378.27Bearish
EMA 50$378.86Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.6 · MACD -0.088

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $3.28 · BB 3.07%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.0 · OBV 0.33%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$370.69 - $383.99

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.61% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$387.27
Nearest resistance

+1.75% · 2.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$383.99
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$377.4
Nearest support

-1.78% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$370.69
Deeper support zone

-2.65% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$367.41
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$374.12 - $380.68

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.23, invalidation $376.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 13.3 / 42.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$367.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$376.97 / $382.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.28 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.07%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$384.91 / $371.51Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$374.12 / $380.68Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$370.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.2 / 48.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.96xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $379.23, invalidation $376.19

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

25.8 / 13.3 / 42.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$367.35Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$376.97 / $382.31Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.6Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.088Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

52.2 / 48.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-45.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.28 (0.87%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.07%

38%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$384.91 / $371.51Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$374.12 / $380.68Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.33%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.96xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$383.99Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$370.69Range

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