US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish61%
1h Downside probability 61%Bearish

RL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $338.92 and stabilize above resistance $351.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $351.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 49.5, MACD 0.597

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $3.02 (0.89%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$338.64Bullish
EMA 21$338.92Bullish
EMA 50$341.46Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.5 · MACD 0.597

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $3.02 · BB 3.11%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 48.0 · OBV 0.94%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$331.35 - $351.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.68% · 5.3 ATR above latest close

$354.97
Nearest resistance

+3.79% · 4.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$351.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$339.09
Nearest support

-2.28% · 2.6 ATR below · 34-bar low

$331.35
Deeper support zone

-3.17% · 3.6 ATR below latest close

$328.33
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$336.07 - $342.11

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.89, invalidation $340.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 32.0 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$328.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$338.12 / $344.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.02 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.11%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$345.61 / $332.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$336.07 / $342.11Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.597Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.3 / 55.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

55.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.82xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $332.89, invalidation $340.32

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

26.1 / 32.0 / 37.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$328.93Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$338.12 / $344.68Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

61%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.597Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

55.3 / 55.5Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-44.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

55.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$3.02 (0.89%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.11%

66%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$345.61 / $332.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$336.07 / $342.11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.0Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

0.94%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.82xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$351.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$331.35Range

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