US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish92%
1h Downside probability 92%Bearish

RL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $393.62 and stabilize above resistance $402.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $402.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.2, MACD -0.594

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.81 (0.72%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$392.16Bearish
EMA 21$393.62Bearish
EMA 50$393.84Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.2 · MACD -0.594

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.81 · BB 2.52%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 41.5 · OBV -3.89%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$389.44 - $402.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.74% · 5.2 ATR above latest close

$405.41
Nearest resistance

+3.02% · 4.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$402.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$390.8
Nearest support

-0.35% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$389.44
Deeper support zone

-1.07% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$386.63
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$387.99 - $393.61

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $397.71, invalidation $389.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.0 / 12.1 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$381.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$394.57 / $387.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.81 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.52%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$399.67 / $387.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$387.99 / $393.61Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$402.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$389.44Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.594Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 19.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.26xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $397.71, invalidation $389.44

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.0 / 12.1 / 28.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$381.82Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$394.57 / $387.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

13%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.594Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.5 / 19.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.5Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-117.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.81 (0.72%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.52%

15%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$399.67 / $387.47Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$387.99 / $393.61Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-3.89%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

3.26xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$402.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$389.44Range

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