US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish72%
1h Downside probability 72%Bearish

RL 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $374.36 and stabilize above resistance $384.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $384 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.9, MACD 0.351

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.21 (0.59%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$373.27Bearish
EMA 21$374.36Bearish
EMA 50$378.35Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.9 · MACD 0.351

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.21 · BB 2.95%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 46.3 · OBV -4.77%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$366.01 - $384

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.66% · 6.2 ATR above latest close

$386.21
Nearest resistance

+3.06% · 5.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$384
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$372.59
Nearest support

-1.77% · 3.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$366.01
Deeper support zone

-2.36% · 4.0 ATR below latest close

$363.8
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$370.38 - $374.8

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $374.83, invalidation $371.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 39.7 / 25.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$365.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$375.15 / $378.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.21 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.95%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$378.99 / $369.49Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$370.38 / $374.8Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$384Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$366.01Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.351Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.5 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.68xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $374.83, invalidation $371.57

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.3 / 39.7 / 25.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$365.46Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$375.15 / $378.81Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

47%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.9Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.351Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.5 / 36.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.4Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.21 (0.59%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.95%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$378.99 / $369.49Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$370.38 / $374.8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

46.3Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.77%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

4.68xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$384Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$366.01Range

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