US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish73%
Weekly Downside probability 73%Bearish

RL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $365.77 and stabilize above resistance $421.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $421.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.5, MACD -4.905

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.54 (6.48%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$358.92Bullish
EMA 21$365.77Bearish
EMA 50$352.24Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.5 · MACD -4.905

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $23.54 · BB 23.46%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 32.8 · OBV -7.16%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$317.23 - $421.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+22.5% · 3.5 ATR above latest close

$445.14
Nearest resistance

+16.02% · 2.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$363.37
Nearest support

-12.7% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$317.23
Deeper support zone

-19.18% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$293.69
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$339.83 - $386.91

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $330.93, invalidation $411.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 13.4 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$288.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.24 / $364.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.54 (6.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.46%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$412.78 / $318.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$339.83 / $386.91Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.905Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 24.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $330.93, invalidation $411.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 13.4 / 25.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$288.17Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.24 / $364.08Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

44%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.5Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-4.905Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 24.7Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-54.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 2Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.54 (6.48%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 23.46%

36%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$412.78 / $318.7Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$339.83 / $386.91Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

32.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-7.16%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.83xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

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