US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBullish72%
Weekly Upside probability 72%Bullish

RL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $317.23 and reclaim $421.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $317.23 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 56.0, MACD 1.803

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $23.37 (5.98%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$378.49Bullish
EMA 21$373.3Bullish
EMA 50$358.74Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 56.0 · MACD 1.803

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $23.37 · BB 19.49%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 38.8 · OBV -6.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$317.23 - $421.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+13.86% · 2.3 ATR above latest close

$444.97
Nearest resistance

+7.88% · 1.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$390.8
Nearest support

-18.83% · 3.1 ATR below · 34-bar low

$317.23
Deeper support zone

-24.8% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$293.87
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$367.44 - $414.17

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $330.93, invalidation $411.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.5 / 22.0 / 15.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$322.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.84 / $369.42Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.37 (5.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.49%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.57 / $326.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$367.44 / $414.17Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.803Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.4 / 68.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $330.93, invalidation $411.19

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.5 / 22.0 / 15.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$322.87Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.84 / $369.42Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

56.0Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

1.803Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

72.4 / 68.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-27.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

77.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 8Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$23.37 (5.98%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 19.49%

73%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.57 / $326.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$367.44 / $414.17Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.8Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.98%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.65xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

Related Forecasts