US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish61%
Weekly Downside probability 61%Bearish

RL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $377.51 and stabilize above resistance $421.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $421.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 49.9, MACD -2.239

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $28.06 (7.53%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$383.92Bearish
EMA 21$377.51Bearish
EMA 50$352.8Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 49.9 · MACD -2.239

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $28.06 · BB 20.75%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 52.9 · OBV -4.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$317.23 - $421.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.68% · 2.7 ATR above latest close

$449.66
Nearest resistance

+13.15% · 1.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$372.59
Nearest support

-14.86% · 2.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$317.23
Deeper support zone

-22.39% · 3.0 ATR below latest close

$289.17
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$344.53 - $400.65

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $411.19, invalidation $366.93

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 27.7 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$303.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$381.1 / $353.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.06 (7.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.75%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$426.41 / $330.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$344.53 / $400.65Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.239Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.0 / 65.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $411.19, invalidation $366.93

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

17.7 / 27.7 / 15.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$303.63Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$381.1 / $353.86Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

53%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

49.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.239Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

53.0 / 65.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-47.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-23.1Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$28.06 (7.53%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 20.75%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$426.41 / $330.01Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$344.53 / $400.65Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

52.9Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-4.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.73xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

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