US stock / ETF

Ralph Lauren Corporation

RL · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish70%
Weekly Downside probability 70%Bearish

RL 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $370.08 and stabilize above resistance $421.6.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $421.6 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.1, MACD -6.807

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $25.31 (7.46%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$364.28Bearish
EMA 21$370.08Bearish
EMA 50$352.24Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.1 · MACD -6.807

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $25.31 · BB 24.35%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.1 · OBV -9.57%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$317.23 - $421.6

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+31.8% · 4.3 ATR above latest close

$446.91
Nearest resistance

+24.33% · 3.3 ATR above · 34-bar high

$421.6
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$339.09
Nearest support

-6.45% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$317.23
Deeper support zone

-13.91% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$291.92
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$313.78 - $364.4

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $411.19, invalidation $366.93

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 20.8 / 24.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$268.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.34 / $360.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.31 (7.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.35%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.96 / $319.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$313.78 / $364.4Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.807Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.6 / 10.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $411.19, invalidation $366.93

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

18.3 / 20.8 / 24.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$268.64Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$370.34 / $360.79Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

21%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.1Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-6.807Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.6 / 10.9Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-91.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-126.1Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 4Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$25.31 (7.46%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 24.35%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$420.96 / $319.58Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$313.78 / $364.4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-9.57%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.88xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$421.6Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$317.23Range

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