US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish65%
4h Downside probability 65%Bearish

RJF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $159.18 and stabilize above resistance $162.17.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $162.17 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 42.2, MACD 0.044

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.69 (1.07%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$158.59Bearish
EMA 21$159.18Bearish
EMA 50$161.82Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 42.2 · MACD 0.044

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.69 · BB 3.33%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 62.9 · OBV -1.01%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$155.69 - $162.17

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+4.17% · 3.9 ATR above latest close

$163.86
Nearest resistance

+3.09% · 2.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$162.17
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$157.31
Nearest support

-1.03% · 1.0 ATR below · 34-bar low

$155.69
Deeper support zone

-2.1% · 2.0 ATR below latest close

$154
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$155.62 - $158.99

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $162.17, invalidation $156.52

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 25.5 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$152.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$159.13 / $163.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.69 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.33%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$162.06 / $156.18Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.62 / $158.99Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$162.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$155.69Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.044Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 26.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $162.17, invalidation $156.52

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

32.2 / 25.5 / 38.4Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$152.97Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$159.13 / $163.43Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

20%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

42.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.044Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

20.0 / 26.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-80.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-104.3Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.69 (1.07%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.33%

20%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$162.06 / $156.18Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$155.62 / $158.99Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

62.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.01%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.41xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$162.17Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$155.69Range

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