US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish76%
4h Downside probability 76%Bearish

RJF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $170.95 and stabilize above resistance $181.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $181.21 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 27.0, MACD -0.924

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.05 (1.25%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$167.33Bearish
EMA 21$170.95Bearish
EMA 50$173.76Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 27.0 · MACD -0.924

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.05 · BB 9.24%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 31.7 · OBV -10.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$162.18 - $181.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+11.36% · 9.1 ATR above latest close

$183.26
Nearest resistance

+10.11% · 8.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$181.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$164.57
Nearest support

-1.45% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$162.18
Deeper support zone

-2.7% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$160.13
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$162.52 - $166.62

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $172.25, invalidation $174.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.9 / 11.9 / 47.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$158.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$169.92 / $171.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.05 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.24%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$174.97 / $166.56Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.52 / $166.62Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$162.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.924Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.2 / 9.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.11xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $172.25, invalidation $174.09

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

50.9 / 11.9 / 47.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$158.27Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$169.92 / $171.7Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

15%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

27.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.924Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

16.2 / 9.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-83.8Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-156.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 13Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.05 (1.25%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 9.24%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$174.97 / $166.56Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$162.52 / $166.62Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.7Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-10.39%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.11xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$181.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$162.18Range

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