US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

4 hoursBearish75%
4h Downside probability 75%Bearish

RJF 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $153.81 and stabilize above resistance $160.19.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $160.19 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.3, MACD -1.059

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.19 (1.45%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$152.8Bearish
EMA 21$153.81Bearish
EMA 50$152.93Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.3 · MACD -1.059

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.19 · BB 6.92%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 36.3 · OBV -315.91%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$144.2 - $160.19

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.02% · 5.5 ATR above latest close

$162.38
Nearest resistance

+6.57% · 4.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$160.19
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$150.32
Nearest support

-4.07% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$144.2
Deeper support zone

-5.53% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$142.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$148.13 - $152.51

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $157.56, invalidation $155.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 11.2 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$143.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$152.83 / $150.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.19 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.92%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$158.41 / $149.25Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.13 / $152.51Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$160.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$144.2Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.4 / 20.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $157.56, invalidation $155.64

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

35.2 / 11.2 / 42.7Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$143.51Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$152.83 / $150.69Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

26%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.059Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.4 / 20.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.6Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-152.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.19 (1.45%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.92%

1%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$158.41 / $149.25Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.13 / $152.51Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-315.91%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.42xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$160.19Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$144.2Range

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