US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish82%
1h Downside probability 82%Bearish

RJF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $152.08 and stabilize above resistance $157.78.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $157.78 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 40.2, MACD -0.080

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.52 (1.01%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$150.42Bearish
EMA 21$152.08Bearish
EMA 50$153.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 40.2 · MACD -0.080

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.52 · BB 6.98%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 56.2 · OBV -1.15%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$146.78 - $157.78

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.97% · 5.9 ATR above latest close

$159.3
Nearest resistance

+4.96% · 4.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$157.78
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$150.32
Nearest support

-2.35% · 2.3 ATR below · 34-bar low

$146.78
Deeper support zone

-3.36% · 3.3 ATR below latest close

$145.26
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$148.8 - $151.84

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.78, invalidation $150.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.9 / 17.3 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.57 / $153.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.52 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.98%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$154.86 / $149.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.8 / $151.84Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$146.78Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.3 / 42.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $146.78, invalidation $150.99

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.9 / 17.3 / 42.3Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$145.89Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$150.57 / $153.49Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

37%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

40.2Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.080Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

43.3 / 42.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-56.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.52 (1.01%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 6.98%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$154.86 / $149.08Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.8 / $151.84Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.15%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.54xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$157.78Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$146.78Range

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