US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

1 hourBearish86%
1h Downside probability 86%Bearish

RJF 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $168.01 and stabilize above resistance $176.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $176.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 32.0, MACD -0.279

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $1.3 (0.79%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$165.79Bearish
EMA 21$168.01Bearish
EMA 50$170.95Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 32.0 · MACD -0.279

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $1.3 · BB 5.24%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 48.4 · OBV -1.42%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$162.18 - $176.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.31% · 10.5 ATR above latest close

$178.25
Nearest resistance

+7.52% · 9.5 ATR above · 34-bar high

$176.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$164.57
Nearest support

-1.45% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$162.18
Deeper support zone

-2.24% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$160.88
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$163.27 - $165.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $164.92, invalidation $167.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 8.1 / 53.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$166.81 / $170.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.3 (0.79%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.24%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$171.13 / $164.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$163.27 / $165.87Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$176.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$162.18Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.279Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.3 / 17.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.62xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $164.92, invalidation $167.3

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

65.9 / 8.1 / 53.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$159.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$166.81 / $170.27Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

24%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

32.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.279Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.3 / 17.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.7Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-133.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 2Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$1.3 (0.79%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.24%

10%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$171.13 / $164.6Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$163.27 / $165.87Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is neutral

48.4Range
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-1.42%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

5.62xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$176.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$162.18Range

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