US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish54%
Weekly Downside probability 54%Bearish

RJF 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $163.04 and stabilize above resistance $182.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $182.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 44.6, MACD -2.102

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $7.75 (4.9%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$161.11Bearish
EMA 21$163.04Bearish
EMA 50$160.74Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 44.6 · MACD -2.102

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $7.75 · BB 21.93%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 37.6 · OBV 6.39%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$138.82 - $182.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+20.47% · 4.2 ATR above latest close

$190.48
Nearest resistance

+15.56% · 3.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$182.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$158.12
Nearest support

-12.21% · 2.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$138.82
Deeper support zone

-17.11% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$131.07
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$150.37 - $165.87

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $182.73, invalidation $155.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 14.2 / 24.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$164.53 / $160.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.75 (4.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.93%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$178.18 / $147.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$150.37 / $165.87Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 14.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $182.73, invalidation $155.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

21.6 / 14.2 / 24.9Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$136.25Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$164.53 / $160.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

44.6Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.102Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.4 / 14.2Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.6Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-64.2Range
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 8Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$7.75 (4.9%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 21.93%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$178.18 / $147.98Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$150.37 / $165.87Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

37.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.39%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.82Range

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