US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

1 weekBearish56%
Weekly Downside probability 56%Bearish

RJF 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $164.76 and stabilize above resistance $182.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $182.73 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 43.5, MACD -1.871

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $8.37 (5.32%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$164.77Bearish
EMA 21$164.76Bearish
EMA 50$161.11Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 43.5 · MACD -1.871

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $8.37 · BB 26.03%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 42.0 · OBV 34.98%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$138.82 - $182.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.45% · 4.0 ATR above latest close

$191.1
Nearest resistance

+16.14% · 3.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$182.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$157.34
Nearest support

-11.77% · 2.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$138.82
Deeper support zone

-17.09% · 3.2 ATR below latest close

$130.45
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$148.97 - $165.71

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $182.73, invalidation $155.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 19.9 / 22.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$133.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$165.43 / $160.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.37 (5.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.03%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$181.96 / $147.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.97 / $165.71Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.82Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.871Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 24.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

34.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $182.73, invalidation $155.5

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

20.1 / 19.9 / 22.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$133.54Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$165.43 / $160.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

43.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.871Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

6.8 / 24.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-93.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-46.2Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$8.37 (5.32%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 26.03%

32%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$181.96 / $147.85Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$148.97 / $165.71Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

42.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

34.98%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.20xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$138.82Range

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