US stock / ETF

Raymond James Financial, Inc.

RJF · NYSE · USD

1 monthBullish75%
Monthly Upside probability 75%Bullish

RJF 1M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

Monthly: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $104.24 and reclaim $182.73.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $104.24 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is above EMA21

Monthly
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 55.3, MACD -0.488

Monthly
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $17.35 (10.54%)

Monthly

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$163.17Bullish
EMA 21$155.24Bullish
EMA 50$134.67Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 55.3 · MACD -0.488

Momentum is strong

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $17.35 · BB 29.47%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 57.9 · OBV 16.86%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$104.24 - $182.73

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+21.58% · 2.0 ATR above latest close

$200.08
Nearest resistance

+11.03% · 1.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$182.73
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$164.57
Nearest support

-36.66% · 3.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$104.24
Deeper support zone

-47.2% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$86.89
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$147.22 - $181.92

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $138.82, invalidation $174.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 17.0 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$152.13 / $132.37Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.35 (10.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.47%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.98 / $118.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$147.22 / $181.92Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.24Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.488Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.6 / 81.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $138.82, invalidation $174.7

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

19.2 / 17.0 / 16.2Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$116.19Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$152.13 / $132.37Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

72%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

55.3Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.488Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.6 / 81.2Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.4Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

86.6Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 3Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$17.35 (10.54%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 29.47%

65%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$192.98 / $118.84Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$147.22 / $181.92Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

57.9Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

16.86%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.45xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$182.73Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$104.24Range

Related Forecasts