US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish86%
4h Downside probability 86%Bearish

QQQ 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $717.14 and stabilize above resistance $735.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $735.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 41.5, MACD -0.662

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.62 (0.65%)

4h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$713.71Bearish
EMA 21$717.14Bearish
EMA 50$717.02Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 41.5 · MACD -0.662

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.62 · BB 4.12%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 34.9 · OBV -6.61%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$708.52 - $735.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+3.88% · 6.0 ATR above latest close

$740.48
Nearest resistance

+3.23% · 5.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$735.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$712.82
Nearest support

-0.6% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$708.52
Deeper support zone

-1.25% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$703.9
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$708.2 - $717.44

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $716.83, invalidation $709.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.5 / 12.6 / 19.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$699.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$718.26 / $722.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.62 (0.65%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.12%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$726.11 / $707.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$708.2 / $717.44Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$735.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$708.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.662Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 24.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $716.83, invalidation $709.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

45.5 / 12.6 / 19.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$699.39Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$718.26 / $722.18Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

16%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

41.5Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.662Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

32.2 / 24.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-67.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-67.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.62 (0.65%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 4.12%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$726.11 / $707.81Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$708.2 / $717.44Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.61%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.62xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$735.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$708.52Range

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