US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish92%
4h Downside probability 92%Bearish

QQQ 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $742.85 and stabilize above resistance $762.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $762.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 26.3, MACD -2.202

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.38 (0.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$736.52Bearish
EMA 21$742.85Bearish
EMA 50$743.72Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 26.3 · MACD -2.202

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.38 · BB 3.95%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 38.9 · OBV -21.84%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$726.39 - $762.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.4% · 9.0 ATR above latest close

$767.24
Nearest resistance

+4.79% · 8.0 ATR above · 34-bar high

$762.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$727.96
Nearest support

-0.22% · 0.4 ATR below · 34-bar low

$726.39
Deeper support zone

-0.82% · 1.4 ATR below latest close

$722.01
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$723.58 - $732.34

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $738.83, invalidation $746.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.8 / 12.8 / 40.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$714.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$740.23 / $744.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.38 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.95%

-7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$752.07 / $733.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$723.58 / $732.34Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$762.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$726.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.202Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-200.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $738.83, invalidation $746.05

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

40.8 / 12.8 / 40.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$714.44Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$740.23 / $744.63Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

5%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

26.3Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-2.202Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

5.6 / 6.3Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-94.4Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-200.6Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.38 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.95%

-7%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$752.07 / $733.1Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$723.58 / $732.34Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

38.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-21.84%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.90xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$762.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$726.39Range

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