US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

4 hoursBearish68%
4h Downside probability 68%Bearish

QQQ 4H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

4h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $714.31 and stabilize above resistance $723.72.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $723.72 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is above EMA21

4h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 50.9, MACD -0.035

4h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.26 (0.6%)

4h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$713.99Bullish
EMA 21$714.31Bullish
EMA 50$714.57Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.9 · MACD -0.035

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.26 · BB 2.03%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.5 · OBV -6.95%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$702.96 - $723.72

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.83% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$727.98
Nearest resistance

+1.24% · 2.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$723.72
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$714.87
Nearest support

-1.67% · 2.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$702.96
Deeper support zone

-2.26% · 3.8 ATR below latest close

$698.7
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$710.61 - $719.13

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $717.69, invalidation $706.58

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 14.0 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$701.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$713.6 / $713.54Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.26 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.03%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$722.92 / $705.66Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$710.61 / $719.13Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$723.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$702.96Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.035Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.3 / 58.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $717.69, invalidation $706.58

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

37.6 / 14.0 / 27.1Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$701.9Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$713.6 / $713.54Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

49%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.035Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

58.3 / 58.8Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-41.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-24.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 4Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.26 (0.6%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 2.03%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$722.92 / $705.66Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$710.61 / $719.13Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-6.95%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.42xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$723.72Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$702.96Range

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