US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish67%
3M Upside probability 67%Bullish

QQQ 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $254.27 and reclaim $748.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $254.27 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 76.6, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $78.99 (11.07%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$574.77Bullish
EMA 21$452.05Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 76.6 · MACD --

Momentum is strong

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $78.99 · BB 110.59%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 81.7 · OBV 144.70%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$254.27 - $748.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bullish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+15.95% · 1.4 ATR above latest close

$827.42
Nearest resistance

+4.88% · 0.4 ATR above · 24-bar high

$748.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$713.58
Nearest support

-64.37% · 5.8 ATR below · 24-bar low

$254.27
Deeper support zone

-75.44% · 6.8 ATR below latest close

$175.28
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$634.59 - $792.57

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $636.96, invalidation $555.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$397.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$78.99 (11.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 110.59%

106%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$637.53 / $287.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$634.59 / $792.57Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$748.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$254.27Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

92.9 / 90.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

165.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

144.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $636.96, invalidation $555.6

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

-- / -- / --Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$397.67Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

-- / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

93%Bullish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is strong

76.6Bullish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

92.9 / 90.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Overbought zone

-7.1Bearish
CCI (20)

Strong expansion

165.9Bullish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

sell 13Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$78.99 (11.07%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 110.59%

106%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$637.53 / $287.51Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$634.59 / $792.57Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

81.7Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

144.70%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.11xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$748.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$254.27Range

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