US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish83%
1h Downside probability 83%Bearish

QQQ 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $736.68 and stabilize above resistance $746.21.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $746.21 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 19.0, MACD -1.224

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.87 (0.39%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$731.69Bearish
EMA 21$736.68Bearish
EMA 50$741.71Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 19.0 · MACD -1.224

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.87 · BB 3.23%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 18.6 · OBV -59.40%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$726.39 - $746.21

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+2.9% · 7.4 ATR above latest close

$749.08
Nearest resistance

+2.51% · 6.4 ATR above · 34-bar high

$746.21
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$727.96
Nearest support

-0.22% · 0.5 ATR below · 34-bar low

$726.39
Deeper support zone

-0.61% · 1.5 ATR below latest close

$723.52
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$725.09 - $730.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $745.89, invalidation $741.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.4 / 5.9 / 41.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$719.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$736.18 / $740.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.87 (0.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.23%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$742.71 / $730.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$725.09 / $730.83Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$746.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$726.39Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.0 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-59.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.74xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $745.89, invalidation $741.8

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.4 / 5.9 / 41.5Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$719.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$736.18 / $740.53Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

8%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

19.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.224Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

8.0 / 9.6Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-92.0Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.9Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 9Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.87 (0.39%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 3.23%

6%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$742.71 / $730.11Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$725.09 / $730.83Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

18.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-59.40%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.74xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$746.21Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$726.39Range

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