US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish79%
1h Downside probability 79%Bearish

QQQ 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $719.39 and stabilize above resistance $745.32.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $745.32 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 38.0, MACD -0.565

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $4.73 (0.67%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$713.56Bearish
EMA 21$719.39Bearish
EMA 50$724.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 38.0 · MACD -0.565

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $4.73 · BB 5.16%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 56.2 · OBV 6.73%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bullish
Price Levels
$707.02 - $745.32

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+5.44% · 8.2 ATR above latest close

$750.05
Nearest resistance

+4.78% · 7.2 ATR above · 34-bar high

$745.32
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$711.34
Nearest support

-0.61% · 0.9 ATR below · 34-bar low

$707.02
Deeper support zone

-1.27% · 1.9 ATR below latest close

$702.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$706.61 - $716.07

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $719.92, invalidation $710.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.0 / 22.8 / 40.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$696.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$719.82 / $726.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.73 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.16%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$727.51 / $710.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$706.61 / $716.07Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$745.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$707.02Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 14.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $719.92, invalidation $710.89

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

49.0 / 22.8 / 40.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$696.75Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$719.82 / $726.17Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

14%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

38.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-0.565Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

26.2 / 14.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-73.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-92.7Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$4.73 (0.67%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 5.16%

27%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$727.51 / $710.52Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$706.61 / $716.07Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is strong

56.2Bullish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

6.73%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.68xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$745.32Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$707.02Range

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