US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

1 hourBearish75%
1h Downside probability 75%Bearish

QQQ 1H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

1h: EMA8/21/50 are in bearish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $713.4 and stabilize above resistance $720.15.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $720.15 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBearish
Weak Pullback

Price is below EMA21

1h
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 47.1, MACD 0.186

1h
Volatility EnvironmentBullish
Low volatility

ATR is $2.38 (0.33%)

1h

EMA Structure

Bearish
EMA 8$713.13Bearish
EMA 21$713.4Bearish
EMA 50$715.59Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.1 · MACD 0.186

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $2.38 · BB 1.13%

Low volatility

Strength
Bullish
Volume
MFI 44.5 · OBV -2.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$708.52 - $720.15

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+1.36% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$722.53
Nearest resistance

+1.03% · 3.1 ATR above · 34-bar high

$720.15
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$712.82
Nearest support

-0.6% · 1.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$708.52
Deeper support zone

-0.94% · 2.8 ATR below latest close

$706.14
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$710.44 - $715.2

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.83, invalidation $709.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 25.4 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$705.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$713.04 / $715.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.38 (0.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.13%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$718.38 / $708.34Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$710.44 / $715.2Bullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$720.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$708.52Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.186Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.4 / 51.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

13.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.47xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $714.83, invalidation $709.2

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.4 / 25.4 / 25.6Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$705.6Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$713.04 / $715.19Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

52%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is positive

0.186Bullish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

47.4 / 51.1Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-52.6Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

13.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 1Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.38 (0.33%)Bullish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 1.13%

51%Bullish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$718.38 / $708.34Bullish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$710.44 / $715.2Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

44.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-2.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

2.47xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$720.15Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$708.52Range

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