US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

1 weekBearish58%
Weekly Downside probability 58%Bearish

QQQ 1W chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

Weekly: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $703.01 and stabilize above resistance $762.86.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $762.86 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

Weekly
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 47.7, MACD -9.347

Weekly
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $27.83 (4.04%)

Weekly

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$699.26Bearish
EMA 21$703.01Bearish
EMA 50$672.05Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 47.7 · MACD -9.347

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $27.83 · BB 12.99%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 31.3 · OBV 5.83%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Range
Price Levels
$555.6 - $762.86

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+14.9% · 3.7 ATR above latest close

$790.69
Nearest resistance

+10.85% · 2.7 ATR above · 34-bar high

$762.86
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$688.17
Nearest support

-19.26% · 4.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$555.6
Deeper support zone

-23.31% · 5.8 ATR below latest close

$527.77
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$660.34 - $716

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $762.86, invalidation $700

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 12.1 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$585.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$704.95 / $659.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.83 (4.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.99%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$765.59 / $641.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$660.34 / $716Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$762.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$555.6Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.5 / 24.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.83%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $762.86, invalidation $700

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is moderate

15.8 / 12.1 / 29.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$585.83Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$704.95 / $659.23Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

36%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

47.7Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-9.347Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

35.5 / 24.1Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-64.5Range
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-135.4Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$27.83 (4.04%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 12.99%

24%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$765.59 / $641.63Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$660.34 / $716Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

31.3Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

5.83%Bullish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.92xRange

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$762.86Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$555.6Range

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