US stock / ETF

Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1

QQQ · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish67%
12h Downside probability 67%Bearish

QQQ 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
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Market View

Market Shift

12h: EMA8/21/50 are in bullish alignment

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $720.45 and stabilize above resistance $748.43.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $748.43 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseBullish
Constructive Trend

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 48.1, MACD -3.074

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Medium volatility

ATR is $20.49 (2.88%)

12h

EMA Structure

Bullish
EMA 8$723.46Bearish
EMA 21$720.45Bearish
EMA 50$697.75Bullish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 48.1 · MACD -3.074

Neutral zone

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $20.49 · BB 8.39%

Medium volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 39.0 · OBV -46.49%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$686.43 - $748.43

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+8.09% · 2.8 ATR above latest close

$768.92
Nearest resistance

+5.21% · 1.8 ATR above · 34-bar high

$748.43
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$711.34
Nearest support

-3.5% · 1.2 ATR below · 34-bar low

$686.43
Deeper support zone

-6.38% · 2.2 ATR below latest close

$665.94
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$690.85 - $731.83

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $745.32, invalidation $720.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 15.1 / 38.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$660.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$718.83 / $677.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.49 (2.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.39%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$756.32 / $685.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$690.85 / $731.83Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$748.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$686.43Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.074Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.3 / 57.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $745.32, invalidation $720.85

uptrend · HH/HLBullish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

24.7 / 15.1 / 38.2Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$660.5Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$718.83 / $677.77Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

48.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-3.074Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

42.3 / 57.4Bearish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-57.7Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-76.8Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 3Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Medium volatility

$20.49 (2.88%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 8.39%

25%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$756.32 / $685.69Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$690.85 / $731.83Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.0Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-46.49%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.33xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$748.43Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$686.43Range

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