US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish60%
3M Upside probability 60%Bullish

PAYX 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $47.87 and reclaim $161.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $47.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 52.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.83 (17.99%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$115.46Bullish
EMA 21$113.72Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 52.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $20.83 · BB 49.41%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 36.1 · OBV -50.51%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$47.87 - $161.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+57.23% · 3.2 ATR above latest close

$182.07
Nearest resistance

+39.24% · 2.2 ATR above · 29-bar high

$161.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.8
Nearest support

-58.66% · 3.3 ATR below · 29-bar low

$47.87
Deeper support zone

-76.65% · 4.3 ATR below latest close

$27.04
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$94.97 - $136.63

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.7 / 25.9 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.7 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.83 (17.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.41%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.42 / $68.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.97 / $136.63Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 21.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.7 / 25.9 / 19.1Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$45.2Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.7 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

40%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

52.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

40.0 / 21.4Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.0Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.83 (17.99%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.41%

40%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.42 / $68.49Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$94.97 / $136.63Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

36.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-50.51%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.81xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

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