US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish60%
3M Upside probability 60%Bullish

PAYX 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $47.87 and reclaim $161.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $47.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.9, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.6 (17.28%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$116.21Bullish
EMA 21$114.03Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.9 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $20.6 · BB 49.18%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 34.5 · OBV -56.63%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$47.87 - $161.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+52.56% · 3.0 ATR above latest close

$181.84
Nearest resistance

+35.28% · 2.0 ATR above · 29-bar high

$161.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$119.19
Nearest support

-59.83% · 3.5 ATR below · 29-bar low

$47.87
Deeper support zone

-77.12% · 4.5 ATR below latest close

$27.27
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$98.59 - $139.79

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.6 / 25.1 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.7 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.6 (17.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.18%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.09 / $69.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.59 / $139.79Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.5 / 22.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.6 / 25.1 / 19.3Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$44.55Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.7 / --Bullish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

45%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.9Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

44.5 / 22.8Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-55.5Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-49.0Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.6 (17.28%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 49.18%

45%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$160.09 / $69.46Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$98.59 / $139.79Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

34.5Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-56.63%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.46xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

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