US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBullish60%
3M Upside probability 60%Bullish

PAYX 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is above EMA21, short trend is constructive

Confirmation Trigger

Hold above $47.87 and reclaim $161.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Lose $47.87 and MACD turns lower again.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is above EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 53.1, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $21.82 (18.95%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$112.41Bullish
EMA 21$112.42Bullish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 53.1 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $21.82 · BB 51.64%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 41.9 · OBV -23.17%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$47.87 - $161.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+58.94% · 3.1 ATR above latest close

$183.06
Nearest resistance

+39.99% · 2.1 ATR above · 30-bar high

$161.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.18
Nearest support

-58.44% · 3.1 ATR below · 30-bar low

$47.87
Deeper support zone

-77.38% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$26.05
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$93.36 - $137

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 24.7 / 17.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.82 (18.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.64%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.3 / $64.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.36 / $137Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 24.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 24.7 / 17.6Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$38.21Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

39%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

53.1Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

39.2 / 24.5Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-60.8Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-57.5Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

sell 1Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$21.82 (18.95%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 51.64%

42%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$161.3 / $64.77Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$93.36 / $137Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

41.9Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-23.17%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.53xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

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