US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish58%
3M Downside probability 58%Bearish

PAYX 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $110.95 and stabilize above resistance $161.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $161.24 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateRange
Momentum mixed

RSI 46.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $20.3 (20.51%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$108.8Bearish
EMA 21$110.95Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 46.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Range
Volatility
ATR $20.3 · BB 54.13%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 39.6 · OBV -32.92%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$47.87 - $161.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+83.48% · 4.1 ATR above latest close

$181.54
Nearest resistance

+62.97% · 3.1 ATR above · 30-bar high

$161.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$98.94
Nearest support

-51.61% · 2.5 ATR below · 30-bar low

$47.87
Deeper support zone

-72.13% · 3.5 ATR below latest close

$27.58
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$78.64 - $119.24

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 26.6 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.3 (20.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.13%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.48 / $67.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.64 / $119.24Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.8 / 17.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

47.4 / 26.6 / 18.9Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$33.94Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$119.47 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

18%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

46.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

17.8 / 17.3Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-82.2Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-127.8Bearish
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 6Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$20.3 (20.51%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 54.13%

19%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$155.48 / $67.5Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$78.64 / $119.24Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

39.6Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-32.92%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.06xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

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