US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

3 monthsBearish54%
3M Downside probability 54%Bearish

PAYX 3M chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

3M: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $113.15 and stabilize above resistance $161.24.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $161.24 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

3M
Momentum StateBullish
Momentum improving

RSI 50.8, MACD --

3M
Volatility EnvironmentBearish
High volatility

ATR is $19.58 (17.88%)

3M

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$114.06Bearish
EMA 21$113.15Bearish
EMA 50--Range

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 50.8 · MACD --

Neutral zone

Strength
Bullish
Volatility
ATR $19.58 · BB 50.16%

High volatility

Strength
Bearish
Volume
MFI 33.1 · OBV -61.71%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$47.87 - $161.24

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Range

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+65.1% · 3.6 ATR above latest close

$180.82
Nearest resistance

+47.22% · 2.6 ATR above · 29-bar high

$161.24
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$109.52
Nearest support

-56.29% · 3.1 ATR below · 29-bar low

$47.87
Deeper support zone

-74.16% · 4.1 ATR below latest close

$28.29
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$89.94 - $129.1

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 21.2 / 20.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.7 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.58 (17.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.16%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.31 / $71.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.94 / $129.1Bearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.8 / 18.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $161.24, invalidation $85.45

range · mixedRange
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

46.8 / 21.2 / 20.4Bullish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$41.69Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$116.7 / --Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

32%Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Neutral zone

50.8Range
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

--Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

31.8 / 18.6Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Neutral zone

-68.2Range
CCI (20)

Balanced zone

-96.3Range
TD Sequential

Setup is not extreme

buy 5Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

High volatility

$19.58 (17.88%)Bearish
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 50.16%

30%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$156.31 / $71.41Bearish
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$89.94 / $129.1Bearish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

33.1Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-61.71%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

0.15xBearish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$161.24Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$47.87Range

Related Forecasts