US stock / ETF

Paychex, Inc.

PAYX · NASDAQ · USD

12 hoursBearish88%
12h Downside probability 88%Bearish

PAYX 12H chart

EMA21EMA50Bollinger
----

Market View

Market Shift

12h: price is below EMA21, short trend is weak

Confirmation Trigger

Recover $121.28 and stabilize above resistance $127.95.

Invalidation Trigger

Break above $127.95 with RSI back above 50.

Market Context

Trend PhaseRange
Sideways Structure

Price is below EMA21

12h
Momentum StateBearish
Momentum soft

RSI 34.0, MACD -1.407

12h
Volatility EnvironmentRange
Low volatility

ATR is $2.06 (1.78%)

12h

EMA Structure

Range
EMA 8$118.64Bearish
EMA 21$121.28Bearish
EMA 50$120.07Bearish

Signals

CategoryReadStrength
Momentum
RSI 34.0 · MACD -1.407

Momentum is weak

Strength
Bearish
Volatility
ATR $2.06 · BB 13.09%

Low volatility

Strength
Range
Volume
MFI 27.2 · OBV -5.26%

Relative to 20-period average volume

Strength
Bearish
Price Levels
$114.25 - $127.95

Support/Resistance Distance

Strength
Bearish

Key Levels

Upper risk zone

+12.27% · 6.9 ATR above latest close

$130.01
Nearest resistance

+10.49% · 5.9 ATR above · 34-bar high

$127.95
Current price

Price shown is delayed

$115.8
Nearest support

-1.34% · 0.8 ATR below · 34-bar low

$114.25
Deeper support zone

-3.12% · 1.8 ATR below latest close

$112.19
ATR zone

Latest close ± ATR14

$113.74 - $117.86

Indicators

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $123.08, invalidation $126.45

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 9.4 / 47.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.73 / $120.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.06 (1.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.09%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.57 / $116.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.74 / $117.86Range

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.25Range

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.407Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 7.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Trend

Dow Theory Structure

Confirmation $123.08, invalidation $126.45

downtrend · LH/LLBearish
ADX / +DI / -DI (14)

Trend strength is active

36.3 / 9.4 / 47.8Bearish
Supertrend (10,3)

Price is above Supertrend

$109.02Bullish
Ichimoku Cloud

Cloud Span A / Span B

$120.73 / $120.88Bearish
Donchian Channel (20)

20-period breakout channel position

11%Bearish

Momentum

RSI (14)

Momentum is weak

34.0Bearish
MACD (12,26,9)

Histogram is negative

-1.407Bearish
Stochastic %K / %D (14,3,3)

%K / %D momentum cross

11.3 / 7.9Bullish
Williams %R (14)

Oversold zone

-88.7Bullish
CCI (20)

Weak expansion

-158.2Bearish
TD Sequential

Exhaustion setup is near completion

buy 11Bullish

Volatility

ATR (14)

Low volatility

$2.06 (1.78%)Range
Bollinger Bands (20,2)

Width 13.09%

4%Bearish
Keltner Channel upper / lower

ATR channel lower / upper

$125.57 / $116.87Range
ATR channel lower / upper

Current Volatility Envelope

$113.74 / $117.86Range

Volume / Money Flow

MFI (14)

Money flow is weak

27.2Bearish
OBV slope

20-period OBV slope

-5.26%Bearish
Volume ratio

Relative to 20-period average volume

1.33xBullish

Levels / Risk

Resistance

Nearest Upside Decision Level

$127.95Range
Support

Nearest Downside Decision Level

$114.25Range

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